Space Exploration Technologies Corp. Class A Common StockEchoStar's SpaceX stake valued at ~$35B implies strong valuation for SpaceX shares
A bullish thesis on EchoStar Corporation argues the stock is mispriced, as its roughly 260 million post-split SpaceX shares—about 2% of the company—imply nearly $35 billion of gross value at a $135 IPO price, while an expected $20.25 billion AT&T cash payment will significantly reduce its $24.56 billion debt load, together exceeding EchoStar's approximately $32 billion market capitalization. Post-deleveraging and S&P 500 inclusion beginning March 2026, EchoStar would effectively become a clean holding company with publicly traded SpaceX exposure surpassing its entire equity value. Near-term price action is influenced by derivatives positioning, with short interest at 25.64%, days to cover at 7.68, and a 4.8:1 call-to-put ratio, creating mechanically driven volatility. Secondary NAV estimates place EchoStar at $155–165 per share, offering meaningful upside if SpaceX trades higher on debut, though risks include a delay in the AT&T closing or weaker-than-expected SpaceX IPO performance.
Space Exploration Technologies Corp. Class A Common StockEchoStar's SpaceX stake valued at ~$35B implies strong valuation for SpaceX shares
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EchoStar CorporationBullish thesis argues stock is mispriced due to SpaceX stake and AT&T payment exceeding market cap, with NAV estimates implying upside.
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EchoStar CorporationBullish thesis argues EchoStar is mispriced due to SpaceX stake and AT&T payment exceeding market cap