Exxon Raises 2050 Emissions Forecast, Warns Coal Use Will Overshoot Climate Targets

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โดย Seeking Alpha·GLOBAL·Read original
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ExxonMobil said in its annual Energy Outlook published this week that the world is on course to fail in its efforts to reduce carbon emissions by 2050, largely because of the persistent use of coal. The report estimates coal will account for 15% of the world's energy mix by 2050, down from 25% in 2025 but up by one percentage point from Exxon's previous projection, because coal is still a significant energy source in China and other Asian countries, where it is viewed as vital for energy security. Global energy-related carbon dioxide emissions are projected at 30B metric tons by 2050, about 10% higher than expected a year ago and nearly triple the levels that a United Nations body determined would be needed to limit global warming to 2°C, or 3.6°F, above pre-industrial norms. Exxon Economic and Energy Director Prasanna Joshi said that pace implies the world is on track for a 2.5°C-3.5°C temperature increase by 2050, and the forecast also lowered its global estimate for the amount of carbon that will be captured and stored underground to about 2B metric tons by 2050 from its prior estimate of 3.1B metric tons, because of affordability and the lack of willingness to pay. Global oil consumption will reach 105M bbl/day in 2050, up from 100M bbl/day last year, and global electricity demand is expected to grow 65% by 2050 from 2025, largely in line with Exxon's previous projections.

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Energy Transition & Power Demand · 1 stocks
Exxon Mobil Corp
XOM
± Mixedrelevance

Exxon's own Energy Outlook forecasts higher 2050 emissions and coal use, but this is a research projection with no direct financial or operational impact on the company.

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