Coinbase Global IncLower rate-hike odds may boost crypto trading volumes, benefiting Coinbase's exchange revenue.

The probability of a July Federal Reserve rate hike has fallen to just 22% after a weak June payrolls report and guarded remarks from new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, easing rate-hike anxiety that has pressured cryptocurrency prices all year. Bitcoin, which saw record monthly outflows of $4.5 billion from U.S. spot ETFs in June, stands to benefit as shifting liquidity expectations may bring back marginal bids. Hyperliquid, the largest decentralized perpetual futures exchange, could gain twice—through higher trading volume powering its automatic HYPE token buybacks, which totaled $148.6 million in Q2 2026, and through a Coinbase deal that now remits most of the yield on USDC backing assets to Hyperliquid, generating over $135 million annually for additional buybacks. Even if rates rise, Hyperliquid’s yield from Treasury-backed cash equivalents would increase, creating a win-win scenario for the token.
Coinbase Global IncLower rate-hike odds may boost crypto trading volumes, benefiting Coinbase's exchange revenue.
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