GBS Expects SET to Swing Between 1,570 and 1,630 Points Amid Pressure from Surging Oil and US Inflation, Recommends Speculating on FTSE Rebalance Stocks

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Summary · why it matters

Global Securities, or GBS, assesses that the SET Index this week is likely to fluctuate, with a trading range of 1,570 to 1,630 points, amid pressure from WTI crude oil prices surging past 100 dollars per barrel and the US Producer Price Index, or PPI, for August rising 5.4 percent year-on-year, higher than analysts' expectations of 5.3 percent. As a result, investors have increased their weighting to 70 percent from 64 percent in expecting the FED to raise interest rates by 0.25 percent at its meeting on September 15-16. Meanwhile, the ECB decided to raise its policy rate by 0.25 percent for the second time this year. On the domestic positive side, the Center for Economic and Business Forecasting at the University of the Thai Chamber of Commerce has revised up its forecast for Thailand's GDP in 2026 to 2.5 percent, benefiting from private investment and exports expected to grow 17.8 percent. Meanwhile, the Ministry of Finance is considering extending the Thai Chai Thai Plus program by another one to two months, and the EV Board has approved excise tax measures to push the import tax on electric vehicles to three rates. Mr. Watcharaphon Jongyanyong, Director of Research at Global Securities, recommends speculating on stocks that benefit from the FTSE Rebalance index adjustment, effective at the closing price on September 18, 2026. In the Large Cap group, CPN enters and exits; in the Mid Cap group, CPN enters while BTS, LH, SCCC, and TU exit; in the Small Cap group, BTS, FTREIT, LH, SCCC, THAI, and TU enter while BLAND, SPCG, and TPIPP exit.

Impact on stocks 13

Real Estate± Mixed · 4 stocks
Energy Transition & Power Demand▼ · 2 stocks
SPCG Public Company Limited
SPCG
▼ NegativeCapitalrelevance

SPCG exits the FTSE Small Cap index in the rebalance effective September 18, 2026, a negative index-flow event.

Smart City / Autonomous Infrastructure▲ · 1 stocks
Materials▼ · 1 stocks
Aerospace & Aviation▲ · 1 stocks
Consumer Staples▼ · 1 stocks
Thai Union Group PCL
TU
▼ NegativeCapitalrelevance

TU exits the FTSE Mid Cap index in the rebalance effective September 18, 2026, a negative index-flow event.

Others▲ · 3 stocks
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