Howmet Aerospace IncHWM
▲ PositiveDemandrelevance
Rising demand for aircraft parts from commercial and defense sectors, plus gas turbines for data centers.
Impact on stocks 1
Defense & Geopolitical Fragmentation▲ · 1 stocks
Howmet Aerospace IncTheme Impact 2
Off-coverage companies
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▲impact 4
EU Sets October Deadline for China to Rebalance Trade
The European Union is demanding concrete action from China to rebalance trade with the EU, setting a deadline for initial results by this October and warning that it will use every tool at its disposal if there is no progress. EU Trade Commissioner Maroš Šefčovič held a phone call with Chinese Commerce Minister Wang Wentao on September 17, covering issues including the management of goods exported to the EU, greater market access in China for European companies, and controls on rare earth exports. European Commission spokesperson Olof Gill said serious negotiations remain important, but the EU wants to see concrete initial results from the meeting in Beijing in October, which will show whether both sides are moving from words to outcomes. The EU currently runs a trade deficit with China of more than 1 billion euros, or 1.1 billion dollars, per day, prompting the European Commission, as well as Germany, to keep up pressure on China. EU leaders are scheduled to discuss and consider countermeasures to China's trade practices in mid-October. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen warned on September 16 that the trade deficit with China has reached a critical turning point, and that while some see the EU as facing a second China shock, it has already arrived. Šefčovič stressed to reporters that he wants to see a clear signal that negotiations will move toward concrete positive results during next month's visit to China, where discussions will cover ways to increase exports of European goods to China as well as adjustments to customs tariff conditions.
Guggenheim Initiates Applied Aerospace & Defense at Buy With 150% Upside
Guggenheim analyst Michael Ciarmoli initiated coverage of almost two dozen defense stocks on September 15, issuing 13 Buy ratings with an average upside of roughly 50% and naming Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. as his top pick. Ciarmoli sees AADX around $30, up about 150% from the share's closing price that day, roughly three times the average upside across his 13 Buy-rated names. He described the company as a merchant supplier of established and proven military subsystems and components, well positioned to benefit from growth in aerospace, defense, and space, and argued that investor fears over a split Congress and spending gridlock are overblown. AADX, which went public on June 2, ended the second quarter with a backlog of $1.1 billion, though it has reported only one quarterly result so far, posting a significant loss, and carries controlled company status with no multi-year trading history. According to Insider Monkey's database, 33 hedge funds held a stake in the company at the end of the second quarter.
▲2impact 4
GM Begins Supplying Patriot Missile Components to Lockheed Martin
General Motors has started supplying missile-housing components for Lockheed Martin's Patriot PAC-3 MSE interceptors, delivering its first batch in August. Lockheed said GM completed work that typically takes months in three weeks. CEO Mary Barra told analysts this summer she expects $700 million of defense revenue this year at double-digit margins. The opportunity comes as Lockheed Martin faces a significant production ramp, with the Pentagon ordering it to more than triple Patriot output to over 2,000 missiles a year by the end of 2030 while constrained suppliers make scaling difficult. The most advanced Patriot costs over $4 million and takes more than two years to reach the customer, with many key parts largely handmade and sourced from single suppliers such as Boeing, which makes the seeker.