HP IncRising component costs could pressure profitability, but guidance slightly above forecasts and AI PC demand provide mixed signals.

HP said it expects fiscal third-quarter earnings per share slightly above analyst forecasts, even as management warned that higher memory, storage, and CPU costs could pressure profitability and test the resilience of AI PC-driven demand. The company's guidance comes amid flat longer-term demand expectations and less profitable incremental sales, sharpening focus on whether HP can better align its product mix and services with customer needs this cycle. HP's recent OpenAI Frontier partnership is seen as especially relevant, positioning the company to embed more AI capabilities directly into its devices and workflows, which could help defend pricing and support the AI PC narrative now being tested by rising input costs. HP's narrative projects $58.3 billion revenue and $2.7 billion earnings by 2029, with a fair value estimate of $22.91, a 27% downside to its current price.
HP IncRising component costs could pressure profitability, but guidance slightly above forecasts and AI PC demand provide mixed signals.