IonQ CEO Predicts Q-Day by 2028 as Shares Fall 5.78%

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Summary · why it matters

IonQ chief executive Niccolo de Masi used the company's investor day to predict that Q-Day, the point at which today's encryption falls, will arrive in 2028, but the market response was muted as shares fell 5.78% to $38.13 and are now down 15.02% year to date. The company reported Q2 revenue of $80.05 million, up 286.8% year over year, yet GAAP operating expenses ran to $417.3 million, adjusted EBITDA was negative $120.3 million, and stock-based compensation alone was $141.8 million, undercutting de Masi's claim that IonQ's systems do not become a lot more expensive as they grow more powerful. IonQ closed its $1.8 billion acquisition of SkyWater, raised full-year 2026 revenue guidance to $280 million to $290 million, and grew remaining performance obligations 297% year over year, with cash of $1.24 billion at quarter end, though management declined to provide combined-company guidance. The 256-qubit system is scheduled to begin commissioning in the first half of 2027, and roughly 50% of Q2 revenue was international while 60% was commercial. Among peers, Rigetti Computing reported Q2 revenue of just $5.14 million and is down 31.2% year to date, while D-Wave Quantum posted $3.08 million in revenue and is down 34.53% year to date, against NVIDIA's $96.22 billion in Q2 revenue, up 105.8% year over year. Analysts carry an average price target of $67.68 on IonQ, which trades at a price-to-sales of roughly 65.

Impact on stocks 5

Quantum Computing · 4 stocks
IONQ Inc
IONQ
± MixedCapitalrelevance

IonQ reported strong Q2 revenue growth and raised 2026 guidance but posted heavy operating losses and negative EBITDA, with shares falling 5.78%.

Semiconductors · 1 stocks
Skywater Technology Inc
SKYT
± MixedCapitalrelevance

SkyWater is mentioned only as IonQ's completed $1.8 billion acquisition, with no standalone impact discussed.

Theme Impact 4

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