Japan's 2-Year Yield Hits 31-Year High, Yen Carry Trade Pressures Bitcoin

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โดย BeInCrypto·JP·Read original
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Japan's two-year government bond yield climbed to 1.746% on Monday, its highest level in more than 31 years, raising the cost of the yen carry trade that has helped fund global risk assets, including Bitcoin. Swap markets now price roughly 88% odds of a rate increase in September, after the Bank of Japan lifted its policy rate to 1% in June, the highest since 1995. Despite Tokyo deploying 15.4 trillion yen, close to $97 billion, between July 30 and August 26, including a rare joint intervention with the United States on July 31, the yen weakened to 160.16 per dollar on Friday and touched 160.20 again on Monday. The spread between US and Japanese two-year yields has narrowed to 2.64%, down from a peak of nearly 5%, yet the yen keeps sliding, suggesting a confidence problem that higher rates alone cannot solve. Bitcoin trades at $79,087, up 1.3% over 24 hours, after slipping below $77,000 last week on hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve chair Kevin Warsh, and the September BOJ decision, while largely priced in, marks a potential trigger for forced selling in yen-funded positions.

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