Coinbase Global IncKalshi traders see low probability of Q2 trading volume exceeding $170B, below consensus, and shares down 55% since bitcoin peak.

Traders on prediction market platform Kalshi are betting that Coinbase's second-quarter trading volume will fall short of analyst estimates. They assign a 25% probability that volume exceeds $170 billion, compared to the FactSet consensus estimate of $168.5 billion, and a 41% chance it surpasses $160 billion. The contract, resolved using data from Fiscal.ai, also gives a 99% likelihood that volume stays above $150 billion. Coinbase is expected to report its third consecutive quarterly decline in trading volumes when it releases earnings on July 30, with shares down more than 55% since bitcoin peaked in October 2025.
Coinbase Global IncKalshi traders see low probability of Q2 trading volume exceeding $170B, below consensus, and shares down 55% since bitcoin peak.