Liquor earnings previews pour in: Sub-premium and regional distillers widely swing to losses, profits shrink sharply

Earnings
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First-half earnings previews from liquor companies have been released in a concentrated batch. Sub-premium and regional players such as Tianyoude, Swellfun, Golden Seed Winery, Shede Spirits, Shunxin Agriculture, and Huangtai Liquor broadly reported steep profit declines or outright losses. Tianyoude expects first-half revenue to fall about 14 percent year on year, with net profit attributable to the parent down 76 to 84 percent. Shunxin Agriculture sees attributable net profit dropping 69.34 to 79.18 percent. Swellfun delivered its first loss-making half-year report in recent years, with attributable net profit at negative 6.2221 million yuan, swinging from profit to loss. Golden Seed Winery expects an attributable net loss of 60 to 72 million yuan. Huangtai Liquor projects a loss of 10 to 18 million yuan, widening its year-on-year deficit. Shede Spirits earlier disclosed that attributable net profit fell 60.52 to 69.55 percent. Wuliangye, benefiting from a low base a year earlier, expects attributable net profit to rise 88.80 to 98.97 percent. Xiao Zhuqing, an independent commentator on China's liquor industry, said the sector is in a phase of deep adjustment in the first half, marked by shrinking demand, intense channel competition, and structural optimization, putting revenue and gross margins at sub-premium distillers under pressure.

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Qinghai Huzhu Barley Wine Co Ltd
002646
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Tianyoude expects first-half revenue to fall ~14% and net profit to drop 76-84%, due to shrinking demand and channel competition.

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