Lumentum Holdings IncLumentum CEO warns of indium phosphide shortage, benefiting Lumentum as a key supplier; strong revenue growth and guidance.
Lumentum CEO Michael Hurlston warned at the RAISE Summit that the next AI infrastructure bottleneck will be a shortage of indium phosphide, a niche semiconductor material used in data center lasers, calling it more acute than the memory industry's challenges. Hurlston said the supply-demand imbalance now exceeds 30%, with pump laser constraints effectively sold out for the foreseeable future. Lumentum posted third-quarter fiscal 2026 revenue of $808.4 million, up 90.1% year over year, and guided for fourth-quarter revenue between $960 million and $1.01 billion. NVIDIA has invested in both Lumentum and its competitor Coherent, which is doubling its internal indium phosphide output by year-end 2026. Despite the tight supply, shares of Lumentum, Coherent, AXT, and Applied Optoelectronics have each sold off more than 20% in the past month.
Lumentum Holdings IncLumentum CEO warns of indium phosphide shortage, benefiting Lumentum as a key supplier; strong revenue growth and guidance.
Coherent IncCoherent is doubling internal indium phosphide output to address shortage, but stock sold off >20% amid supply concerns.
Applied OptIndium phosphide shortage may constrain Applied Optoelectronics' production, contributing to recent stock selloff.
NVIDIA Corporation
AXT IncAXT, as a supplier of indium phosphide substrates, faces supply-demand imbalance but also potential benefit; stock sold off >20%.