Coinbase Global IncMorgan Stanley initiates Coinbase at Equal Weight with a $250 price target, implying ~40% upside but a neutral stance given a wide $50-$400 outcome range.
Morgan Stanley initiated coverage of Coinbase at Equal Weight with a $250 price target, saying the crypto platform has broadened well beyond its exchange roots but remains tied to the volatile crypto cycle. Analyst Michael Cyprys said the target implies about 40% upside from current levels, but a wide $50-to-$400 range of potential outcomes justifies a neutral stance. Cyprys noted Coinbase has evolved from a Bitcoin-only venue into a full-stack platform spanning retail and institutional trading, custody, stablecoins, derivatives, staking, payments and onchain infrastructure, ending the second quarter with 7.6 million monthly transacting users and $246 billion of assets on the platform. He forecasts a cyclical reset in 2026, a sharp rebound in 2027 and normalization in 2028, when he expects about $3.0 billion of adjusted EBITDA, with his price target based on 21 times that estimate. Retail crypto trading, at about 40% of revenue, remains the key swing factor, and Cyprys said regulatory clarity, the company's Everything Exchange push into assets such as equities and prediction markets, and its stablecoin and Base infrastructure all expand its addressable market, though they also invite more competition and gradual pricing pressure.
Coinbase Global IncMorgan Stanley initiates Coinbase at Equal Weight with a $250 price target, implying ~40% upside but a neutral stance given a wide $50-$400 outcome range.
Morgan StanleyMorgan Stanley is the analyst firm initiating coverage of Coinbase; the note is its own research action, not a company-specific development for Morgan Stanley.