Nvidia, Microsoft, and Alphabet vie to be the top pick-and-shovel play in quantum computing

Industry
โดย The Motley Fool·Read original
Summary · why it matters

Nvidia, Microsoft, and Alphabet are positioning themselves as upstream providers to the quantum computing industry, which McKinsey estimates could grow from $1 billion today to $4.4 billion by 2028. Nvidia does not build quantum chips but offers CUDA-Q software and the NVQLink interconnect, already adopted by 17 quantum builders and nine national labs, and stands to benefit from selling classical computing power needed for error correction regardless of qubit type. Microsoft runs the Azure Quantum marketplace, reselling access to hardware from partners like Quantinuum and IonQ, while developing its own Majorana 2 topological chip, which it claims is 1,000 times more reliable than its predecessor. Alphabet’s Google Quantum AI builds superconducting chips such as the 105-qubit Willow processor, which demonstrated exponential error reduction and a computational advantage, and may eventually sell access through Google Cloud. Among the three, Nvidia is identified as the best pick-and-shovel play due to its direct, qubit-agnostic exposure, with Microsoft a close second for its low-risk marketplace model.

Impact on stocks 3

Quantum Computing · 2 stocks
NVIDIA Corporation
NVDA
▲ PositiveDemandrelevance

Nvidia's CUDA-Q software and NVQLink interconnect are adopted by 17 quantum builders and nine national labs, driving demand for its classical computing power in quantum error correction.

Microsoft Corporation
MSFT
▲ PositiveTechnologyrelevance

Microsoft's Azure Quantum marketplace and development of Majorana 2 topological chip with 1000x reliability improvement strengthen its quantum computing position.

Artificial Intelligence · 1 stocks
Alphabet Inc Class C
GOOG
▲ PositiveTechnologyrelevance

Google Quantum AI's Willow processor demonstrates exponential error reduction and computational advantage, positioning Alphabet as a key player in quantum computing.

Theme Impact 4

Related news

3impact 4

IBM Wins $1 Billion Quantum Foundry Award, Adds CUBE AI Governance Deal

International Business Machines said its subsidiary Anderon won a US$1b federal award to build a U.S. quantum chip foundry, alongside a further US$1b IBM commitment to the project. The planned facility is described as the first stand-alone quantum wafer foundry in the U.S., focused on quantum chip manufacturing under CHIPS Act funding. IBM also announced a partnership with regulatory intelligence provider CUBE to integrate real time global AI rule monitoring into watsonx.governance. The Anderon quantum foundry award and CUBE tie up together represent a US$2b quantum and governance push by the company.
Simply Wall St·1dRead more →

Nvidia Launches CUDA-Q Logical for Fault-Tolerant Quantum Computing

Nvidia launched CUDA-Q Logical, an open-source orchestration layer built into its CUDA-Q platform, on September 14. The tool is designed to help researchers develop applications for fault-tolerant quantum computers using logical qubits, and it is available on GitHub. Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory, IQM Quantum Computers, Sandia National Laboratories, Infleqtion, QCDesign, and Quantum Motion are already using the technology. The launch supports Nvidia's broader strategy of making its GPUs the key classical computing layer for hybrid quantum-classical systems, though Jensen Huang said in January 2025 that useful quantum computers could still be 15 to 30 years away, a view tied to the unresolved challenge of scaling quantum hardware. Hedge fund ownership of Nvidia rose from 275 funds at the end of Q1 2026 to 285 funds at the end of Q2 2026, while short interest stood at 1.29% of float as of August 31, 2026.
Insider Monkey·1dRead more →
5impact 4

IBM's Anderon Finalizes $1 Billion CHIPS Act Quantum Foundry Award

Anderon, an IBM subsidiary, finalized a $1 billion research-and-development award from the U.S. Department of Commerce on Wednesday under the 2022 CHIPS and Science Act. The funding will support Anderon's efforts to advance quantum wafer manufacturing at its facility in Albany, New York, where a 300-millimeter quantum wafer foundry serves customers across the quantum industry. IBM has put up $1 billion of its own money alongside the federal award, and production is underway with quantum wafers already in process. The Anderon award is part of a broader $2 billion package distributed across nine quantum computing companies under the CHIPS and Science Act, with GlobalFoundries in line for $375 million and D-Wave Quantum, Rigetti Computing, and Infleqtion each expected to receive $100 million; each of the nine firms will give the federal government a minority ownership stake in exchange for the funding. The finalization follows a letter of intent between IBM and the Commerce Department announced in May, and last week Rigetti Computing, D-Wave Quantum, and Quantinuum each finalized $100 million deals with the department. IBM stock fell 3.3% on Wednesday and has declined nearly 19% this year.
Barron's·1dRead more →