Prediction Markets Surge but Face Insider Trading and Ethical Challenges

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde personally intervened to stop crypto exchange Binance from obtaining authorization within the European Union, the Wall Street Journal reported on September 18. Binance had applied for authorization under the EU's Markets in Crypto-Assets regulation, MiCA, through the Hellenic Capital Market Commission, but withdrew its application on June 24 and indicated it would seek approval in another EU member state. MiCA's transition period ended on July 1, and unauthorized operators are in principle required to stop accepting or soliciting new customers, yet as of September 4 Binance remained unauthorized while continuing to serve some EU customers, citing the reverse solicitation exemption. According to the WSJ report, Greek authorities told Binance by late May that the application process was complete, and the company, expecting approval, was preparing an announcement, but officials later said Lagarde intended to hold off on a decision until a reform transferring authority over crypto firm licensing to the European Securities and Markets Authority is realized. Approval in Greece was seen as important because it would open access to the entire EU market through MiCA Article 65's EU passporting regime, and although licensing decisions rest with each member state's competent authority and the ECB has no formal power, Lagarde was reportedly concerned that Binance's EU expansion would spread the use of dollar-denominated stablecoins and hinder adoption of the digital euro and euro-denominated payment methods.