Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd.Dalio highlights the risk of Taiwan blockade cutting off TSMC's chip supply, directly threatening its operations.
Bridgewater Associates founder Ray Dalio said the war with Iran was a big mistake that exposed the limits of American power, comparing the moment to Britain's humiliation at Suez. Speaking on The Diary of a CEO podcast, Dalio said the U.S. is in the decline phase of his 80-year framework of rising and declining orders. He argued that world leaders now recognize the United States does not want to fight a war, calling control of the Strait of Hormuz the litmus test. Dalio questioned whether Washington would pay the long-term cost of controlling the strait and confronting a country of roughly 90 million people, saying threats no longer work and that power no longer exists. He also cast doubt on U.S. intervention if Beijing blockaded Taiwan, noting that China has become a larger trading partner than the U.S. for most countries. If China blocked semiconductor exports for just five days, you'd see the world stock markets crash, Dalio said, pointing to the risk of cutting off Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., which produces advanced chips for Nvidia Corp. and much of the technology industry.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd.Dalio highlights the risk of Taiwan blockade cutting off TSMC's chip supply, directly threatening its operations.
NVIDIA CorporationDalio warns that a China blockade of Taiwan could cut off TSMC's advanced chips, which Nvidia relies on, causing market crashes.