A whole fighter jet, a whole warship, a whole satellite system — you don't buy these piece by piece. You buy them as "programs" worth tens of billions that run for decades, and in the US only a handful of companies can take on work at this scale. This is the story of the "primes" — the system integrators sitting on order backlogs so deep they can see years of revenue ahead — and the new software-native players that just started to challenge them.
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News & notes movingDefense Primes — United States
Defense Primes — United States2impact 4
Trump Signs Russia-Iran Sanctions Law, Authorizing Tariffs of Up to 100%
US President Donald Trump signed into law a Russia sanctions bill on Friday, September 18. The law grants authority to expand sanctions, impose customs duties and various prohibitions against Russia, while renewing existing sanctions on Iran. The law, named the Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act of 2026, imposes sanctions on Russian officials, Russian banks and vessels used to transport energy from Russia, and gives Trump the authority to levy tariffs of up to 100% on goods from the five countries that import the most oil or natural gas from Russia. It also extends the Iran Sanctions Act for another five years to maintain sanctions targeting Iran's energy and weapons sectors. The US House of Representatives passed the bill on Wednesday, September 16, after the Senate approved it on August 7. The law is a major achievement carrying on the legacy of Lindsey Graham, the former senator who championed the bill and died in July after a sudden illness. However, the bill faced more division in the House than in the Senate, with three Democratic members of the House saying in a joint statement recently that the law may do more harm than good because it greatly increases Trump's power to set tariffs but does not compel him to impose sanctions on Russia.
Trump and Denmark Reach Security Agreement Over Greenland
US President Trump said on the 18th that he had reached an agreement with Denmark granting the United States "permanent control" over the security of Greenland, a Danish autonomous territory. Trump announced the agreement on social media, describing it as addressing "all of the many concerns" held by the United States and saying it would cost the United States "nothing at all." According to US government officials, the new agreement explicitly prohibits non-NATO countries from establishing military bases in Greenland and restricts investment in the island that is viewed as a threat to the United States. The leaders of Denmark and Greenland are expected to sign the agreement document at next week's UN General Assembly. Prime Minister Frederiksen said in a statement that it "strengthens our common security in the Arctic and North Atlantic region and is excellent for NATO and Europe as well."
Kobsak says US, Denmark and Greenland reach permanent security agreement
The United States, Denmark and Greenland have reached a landmark agreement that opens the way for the US to have a long-term security role in Greenland. Kobsak Pootrakool, Senior Executive Vice President of Bangkok Bank, or BBL, posted on Facebook under the name Kobsak Pootrakool, stating that Denmark and Greenland have granted the US the rights to use Greenland as the US wants, to serve as a key strategic point for building the Golden Dome and for controlling shipping through the emerging Arctic route. President Trump announced that this agreement gives the US permanent control over security and all other necessary matters in Greenland, at no cost to the US, and that countries hostile to the US will not be able to establish military bases, station troops, or invest in sensitive businesses in Greenland without explicit written approval from the US. Kobsak stated that this agreement is eternal, with no end date, and that the US will immediately begin the process of establishing a large military force in suitable areas of Greenland. He also viewed this as significant progress within the framework of the Donroe Doctrine, under which the US seeks to control key points around its neighborhood in North and South America, following Panama, Venezuela, Colombia and Greenland, with Cuba and Brazil remaining, awaiting the October 4 election.
Lockheed Martin Set for First Saudi F-35 Sale, Germany F-35A Rollout
Lockheed Martin is set to benefit from a US government plan to sell up to 48 F-35 jets to Saudi Arabia, following a notification to Congress in 2026, a package that would mark the first sale of F-35 aircraft to the kingdom. The company also marked the rollout of Germany's first F-35A in 2026, a key step in Berlin's transition to the aircraft. The Saudi notification for up to 48 F-35s would, if approved and executed, add a new Gulf customer to a platform already adopted by 20 nations and operating from 42 bases worldwide, extending an existing global footprint rather than creating a new product line. The next concrete waypoint is formal progression of the Saudi sale through Congress after the 2026 notification, which would turn a proposed package into a contracted backlog line, while for Germany investors can track the first eight F-35 deliveries to Ebbing Air National Guard Base for pilot training beginning this fall. Lockheed Martin, a US aerospace and defense group with a market cap of about $124.2b, designs and builds combat aircraft like the F-35 along with a wide range of military technology systems for governments in Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and other regions.
US Enacts Sanctions Law Against Russia, Tariffs of Up to 100% on Crude Oil Buyers
A law imposing sanctions tariffs of up to 100% on major countries that purchase crude oil and natural gas from Russia, which continues its invasion of Ukraine, was enacted in the United States on the 18th, and President Trump signed the bill. It imposes tariffs of up to 100% on the top five countries purchasing Russian crude oil and natural gas, with China and India in mind. Sanctions will also be imposed on countries that help Russia evade energy sanctions. For natural gas, a special exception was established to exempt from sanctions countries whose imports of Russian gas remain below 15% of Russia's annual exports and which are taking measures to reduce their purchases.
Lockheed Martin Signs JATM Framework Agreement With U.S. Department of War
The U.S. Department of War signed a landmark framework agreement with Lockheed Martin to rapidly scale production and delivery of the AIM-260 Joint Advanced Tactical Missile, establishing a multi-year procurement pathway under the Trump administration's "Arsenal of Freedom" framework. The AIM-260 JATM is designed to replace the legacy AIM-120 AMRAAM with significantly extended range, advanced signal processing and superior lethality against peer and near-peer air threats. Lockheed Martin is the lead prime contractor, while Northrop Grumman supplies advanced solid rocket motors, warheads and sensor technologies and has delivered more than 1 million tactical solid rocket motors. RTX Corporation, the legacy manufacturer of AMRAAM, is working with the U.S. government and NATO allies to scale AMRAAM production to at least 1,900 units per year, and Boeing and General Dynamics also stand to benefit as suppliers of navigation, guidance, energetics and structural components. The framework is expected to benefit defense-focused exchange-traded funds, including the iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF with $12.54 billion in net assets, the Invesco Aerospace & Defense ETF with a market value of $7.63 billion, and the State Street SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF with $6.13 billion in assets under management.
Lockheed Martin Rolls Out Germany's First F-35A Fighter Jet
Lockheed Martin presented Germany's first F-35A Lightning II to the German government during a ceremony at its F-35 production facility in Fort Worth, Texas, on Sept. 18, 2026. Germany's program of record calls for 35 F-35As, with the first eight aircraft to be delivered to Ebbing Air National Guard Base in Arkansas for pilot training beginning this fall, and the first German F-35s arriving in-country in late 2027. German Minister of Defense Boris Pistorius said the first fighter jets will be delivered this year, with full operational capability to be reached by 2029, calling the aircraft a decisive key capability for the German Air Force and for the whole of NATO. Lieutenant General Holger Neumann, Chief of the German Air and Space Force, said the F-35 will make Germany part of the larger international F-35 community, strengthening both Germany and NATO. OJ Sanchez, president of Lockheed Martin Aeronautics, said the company is building on more than 50 years of partnership with Germany, and noted that German industry has contributed to the F-35 program since its inception in 2001. The F-35 has been selected by 20 nations, including 13 in Europe, and more than 1,355 F-35s are currently operational worldwide.
Lockheed Martin Upgraded to Zacks Rank #2 Buy on Rising Earnings Estimates
Lockheed Martin has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), a rating that places the stock in the top 20% of the more than 4,000 stocks covered by the Zacks Rank system. The upgrade reflects an upward trend in earnings estimates, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the aerospace and defense company rising 1.9% over the past three months. Lockheed is expected to earn $30.45 per share for the fiscal year ending December 2026, which represents no year-over-year change. The Zacks Rank system classifies stocks into five groups, from Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) to Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), and its Zacks Rank #1 stocks have generated an average annual return of +25% since 1988. The upgrade implies that Lockheed's improving earnings outlook could translate into buying pressure and a higher stock price in the near term.
Mercury Systems Beats Q2 Estimates With Record Bookings as Defense Contractors Post Strong Quarter
Mercury Systems reported fourth quarter fiscal 2026 revenues of $289.8 million, up 6.1% year on year and 9.2% above analysts' expectations, as the 14 defense contractors stocks tracked by the report collectively beat consensus revenue estimates by 4% and guided next quarter 1.1% above expectations. Chairman and CEO Bill Ballhaus said the company delivered record bookings, record backlog, record revenue, the highest EBITDA margin of the year, and robust free cash flow, though Mercury shares are down 18.5% since reporting and trade at $85.56. Huntington Ingalls posted the group's best quarter, with revenues of $3.42 billion, up 10.9% year on year and 8.2% above expectations, while its shares have traded sideways at $278.53. Parsons delivered the weakest quarter, with revenues of $1.58 billion, flat year on year and 1.9% below expectations, alongside full-year revenue and EBITDA guidance that missed significantly, sending its stock down 25.5% to $46.19. Northrop Grumman reported revenues of $10.88 billion, up 5.1% and 0.5% above expectations, with shares flat at $526.95, and Leidos reported revenues of $4.56 billion, up 7.2% and 2.6% above expectations, with its stock up 10.4% at $131.09. On average, defense contractors shares are down 2.9% since the latest earnings results.
State Department Approves $5.75 Billion in Potential Arms Sales to Saudi Arabia
The State Department has approved two potential arms sales to Saudi Arabia totaling $5.75 billion, split between a $5 billion package of JDAM-ER guidance kits and bombs and a separate $750 million deal for AGT-1500 tank engines. The JDAM package consists of 5,004 KMU-572 and 5,000 KMU-556 JDAM guidance kits and 5,004 BLU-111 and 5,000 BLU-117 bombs, with Boeing identified as principal contractor for the JDAM-ERs and Honeywell handling the engines. The State Department said the sales would strengthen Saudi Arabia's airborne defense capabilities and improve interoperability with U.S. and Gulf partner forces. For Boeing, the deal is modest against its roughly $85 billion Defense, Space and Security backlog, of which international orders already account for 27%, and the segment reported a second-quarter operating loss largely on charges tied to the VC-25B Air Force One program. For Honeywell Aerospace, the smaller AGT-1500 contract fits its established defense propulsion business and adds to an international defense business that makes up about 30% of its total Defense and Space revenue. Neither potential sale is large enough to meaningfully affect either company's short-term results on its own.
TransDigm Defense Revenue Climbs 11% as Bookings Outpace Sales
TransDigm Group's defense revenues rose approximately 11% year over year in the third quarter of fiscal 2026, with year-to-date defense revenues up 10%, as healthy demand across the U.S. defense aerospace market lifted both original equipment manufacturing and aftermarket businesses. Aftermarket growth ran slightly ahead of OEM growth, reflecting continued demand for replacement parts and services across military aircraft. Defense bookings increased both year over year and sequentially in the quarter and exceeded sales, and management expects defense revenue growth to continue through fiscal 2026, with a strong backlog providing visibility into fiscal 2027. Shares of TransDigm have lost 9.7% over the past six months against a 13.5% decline for the industry, and the stock trades at a forward 12-month price-to-sales ratio of 5.25X versus an industry average of 7.23X. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for TransDigm's 2026 and 2027 earnings has moved higher over the past 60 days, and the stock carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).
US Approves $24.3B F-35 Sale to Saudi Arabia; China Tariff Decision May Slip
The State Department approved a potential $24.3B sale of 48 Lockheed Martin F-35 Lightning II aircraft to Saudi Arabia, along with 49 Pratt & Whitney F135-PW-100 engines and related equipment, a deal that still requires congressional approval and would strengthen Saudi Arabia's air defense and interoperability with U.S. and allied forces. Separately, Bloomberg reported that the U.S. could postpone announcing new tariffs on China and other countries until after President Donald Trump meets Chinese President Xi Jinping next week; a previously planned trade report was expected to recommend a 7.5% tariff on Chinese goods, while the final rate could potentially exceed the 20% level agreed during earlier talks. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said the company expects to sell roughly twice as many chips next year as this year as demand for AI infrastructure expands. China's ChangXin Memory Technologies is preparing to enter the NAND flash-memory market, with Reuters reporting that CXMT plans an R&D production line at its new Beijing plant and has established a research institute in the city, broadening its focus beyond DRAM. OpenAI has hired Brian McCarthy from SpaceX as vice president of worldwide sales, Fortune reported; McCarthy joined SpaceX through its acquisition of Cursor, where he led global revenue and field operations, and previously held senior sales roles at Rubrik, ThoughtSpot, AppDynamics and Qlik.
US prepares to issue visa for Iranian leader to attend UNGA
The US government is preparing to approve a visa for President Masoud Pezeshkian, Iran's leader, and other senior officials, clearing the way for them to attend the United Nations General Assembly, or UNGA, in New York next week, even as the two countries remain in a state of war and hold periodic talks aimed at ending the conflict. Meanwhile, China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs disclosed that Wang Yi, China's Foreign Minister, and Marco Rubio, the US Secretary of State, discussed high-level engagement by telephone on Thursday, September 17, just one week before the two countries' leaders meet in Washington. On the same day, the US State Department said the US government approved the sale of 48 F-35 stealth fighter jets along with related equipment to Saudi Arabia, with a total value of about 24.3 billion US dollars. South Korean President Lee Jae-myung confirmed that South Korea will not become involved in a war in the Middle East, whether directly or indirectly, and stressed that any role the country plays will have nothing to do with the fighting. Kim Yo-jong, the sister of North Korean leader Kim Jong-un, said today that US-led military drills are making the situation on the Korean Peninsula increasingly worse, and affirmed that North Korea will continue to build up its nuclear arsenal.
State Department Approves $24.3B F-35 Sale to Saudi Arabia
The State Department has approved a potential $24.3B sale of F-35 Lightning II stealth fighter jets built by Lockheed Martin to Saudi Arabia. Saudi Arabia requested 48 F-35 Lightning II Joint Strike Fighter aircraft, 49 Pratt & Whitney F135-PW-100 engines and other equipment. The proposed sale, which would require congressional approval, will strengthen Saudi Arabia's homeland defense and improve interoperability with U.S., regional and NATO forces, the State Department said, adding that it will not alter the military balance in the region or adversely impact U.S. defense readiness. The Saudi embassy in Washington said the proposed F-35 sale reflects the strength and enduring nature of the Saudi-U.S. strategic partnership and the continued advancement of defense cooperation. The approval follows other U.S. arms deals cleared with Saudi Arabia this year, including a $5B sale of bombs and guidance kits and a $1.96B sale of Advanced Precision Kill Weapon Systems.
RTX's Pratt & Whitney Invests $25 Million to Expand Poland Engine Parts Plant
RTX Corporation announced on September 4 that its Pratt & Whitney business is investing $25 million to expand its manufacturing facility in Niepołomice, Poland, a site that produces complex tubular assemblies for both military and commercial engines. The expanded facility will begin operations in 2028 and create over 120 jobs, adding to a site that already delivers precision components for engines including the F135, the Pratt & Whitney GTF, and the PW800. The move complements the $100 million investment announced in April to boost production and enhance capabilities at the company's facility in Rzeszów, Poland, and is backed by the Polish government under the Polish Investment Zone Programme, which provides certain tax exemptions. RTX ended the second quarter with a record backlog of $289 billion, up 22% year-over-year, and Poland is already the company's largest presence outside the United States with more than 9,500 employees. As of the close on September 11, RTX carried a forward P/E ratio of 27.29, above the sector median of 19.59 and that of peers including LMT, GD, and NOC.
HII Wins $336 Million Navy Contract for USS William J. Clinton Long-Lead Materials
The U.S. Department of War announced a $336,112,000 Navy contract for Huntington Ingalls Industries to advance procurement of long-lead materials for construction of the future USS William J. Clinton, designated CVN 82. Work will be executed in Newport News, Virginia, with completion anticipated by March 2039, and shipbuilding and conversion funding from FY 2026 will be obligated at the time of award. The award is a sub-component of the Navy's larger aircraft carrier replacement program, which defense websites say the service plans to fund at $22.34 billion over the next five years, with this contract seen as among the first in a sequence of awards as procurement accelerates. The sole-source contract reaffirms HII's status as the sole nuclear carrier builder for the U.S. Navy and extends revenue visibility to 2039, supporting the company's raised full-year shipbuilding revenue guidance of $10.2 billion to $10.4 billion and shipbuilding operating margin of 6% to 6.5%. The contract is cost-only and undefinitized, meaning work begins before final pricing and terms are agreed, adding to cash strain after HII used $31 million of net cash in operating activities in Q2, spent $193 million on capital expenditure, and posted negative free cash flow of $611 million for the first half of 2026 against full-year FCF guidance of $500-600 million. Hedge fund ownership in HII rose 18% in the second quarter to 47 funds from 40, with AQR Capital Management remaining the largest stakeholder at approximately $184 million as of June 30, 2026, followed by Diamond Hill Capital at over $55 million and Citadel Investment Group at $53 million.
BoE holds rates at 3.75%, Fed hikes 0.25%, US sells F-35s to Saudi Arabia for 24.3 billion dollars
The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee voted 6-3 to keep its policy rate at 3.75% at yesterday's meeting, its sixth hold this year, even as inflation remains above the 2% target. Meanwhile, the US Federal Reserve's monetary policy committee voted unanimously 12-0 to raise short-term rates by 0.25% to a range of 3.75-4.00%. The US State Department approved the sale of 48 F-35 stealth fighter jets along with related equipment to Saudi Arabia, with a total value of about 24.3 billion US dollars. Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy disclosed that the oil tanker Trend, which flies the flag of Togo, was attacked and forced to stop after attempting to pass through the Strait of Hormuz illegally.
Boeing wins $112.4M Saudi F-15 training upgrade contract
Boeing has received a $112.4 million contract modification to upgrade and sustain Saudi Arabia's F-15 Advanced Aircrew Training Device Phase II program. The modification raises the contract's total value to $256.7 million from the previous $144.3 million. Work will be carried out at three Saudi air bases: King Faisal, King Khalid, and King Abdulaziz Air Bases. The program is expected to be completed by September 30, 2031, under the U.S. Air Force contract. The contract is part of a Foreign Military Sales program to Saudi Arabia, with the full $112.4 million funded through foreign military funds.
Lockheed's Sikorsky wins $234.46M Army contract for 16 Black Hawks
Sikorsky, a Lockheed Martin company, received a $234.46 million U.S. Army contract modification to procure 16 UH-60M Black Hawk helicopters. The modification raises the cumulative value of contract W58RGZ-26-C-0008 to $356.25 million. The helicopters will be manufactured in Stratford, Connecticut, with work scheduled for completion by June 30, 2028. The U.S. Army obligated the full $234.46 million in FY2026 aircraft procurement funds at the time of the award, and Army Contracting Command at Redstone Arsenal, Alabama, is responsible for the contract.
Trump Says US Set to Establish Military Base in Poland, Location to Be Announced Soon
US President Donald Trump posted on Truth Social to welcome a major step forward in establishing a US military base in Poland, with support from Polish President Karol Nawrocki. Trump said the location of the US base will be announced soon, praising Nawrocki's courageous leadership and noting that if this comes to pass, it will be a historic step for the great alliance between the United States and Poland.
General Dynamics Upgraded to Zacks Rank #2 as Analysts Lift Full-Year Earnings Estimates 2.3%
General Dynamics was upgraded to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) after analysts raised their full-year earnings estimates by 2.3% over the past three months, signaling greater confidence in the company's earnings outlook. The shift in analyst sentiment comes as General Dynamics' year-to-date return has outpaced the broader Aerospace group, suggesting its mix of defense and aerospace businesses is being viewed as relatively resilient within the sector. The recent Q2 2026 earnings release, which showed higher revenue and net income year over year, provided the data analysts used to lift their estimates, alongside ongoing share repurchases and a growing dividend. The upgrade reinforces the near-term outlook but does not materially change the key catalyst of backlog conversion or the biggest current risk around operational and supply chain execution, particularly in Marine and complex aerospace programs. General Dynamics' narrative projects $61.9 billion revenue and $5.6 billion earnings by 2029, yielding a $414.17 fair value, a 15% upside to its current price.
GM Delivers First PAC-3 Patriot Missile Components to Lockheed Martin
General Motors has delivered its first components for Lockheed Martin interceptor missiles, providing precision castings to house the weapon for PAC-3 Patriot missiles as the defense contractor boosts production to rebuild US stocks amid the Iran war and meet international demand. Lockheed and GM signed a formal contract agreement on August 6 and the first batch of PAC-3 components was delivered August 28, a 22-day turnaround that Tim Cahill, president of Lockheed Martin Missiles and Fire Control, called extraordinary and evidence of the company's focus on execution. Lockheed plans to triple the volume of PAC-3 production to 2,000 by the end of next year, Chief Executive Jim Taiclet said Thursday at a Morgan Stanley conference, adding that significant international demand means the company is targeting even greater than a tripling of volumes, though building the supply chain will take time. The deliveries come as government reports flag eroded US munitions supplies: the Department of Defense Inspector General said this week that expenditure on Operation Epic Fury has resulted in strategic inventory shortfalls and revealed industrial base bottlenecks, while a September 15 Congressional Budget Office report cited reduced interceptor inventories for several years and put the Iran conflict's total cost to the US military at around $38 billion as of August 1. GM, which has targeted defense as a growth area, expects defense revenues of $700 million in 2026, Chief Executive Mary Barra said in July, after the Army ordered more than 10,000 infantry squad vehicles following an initial procurement of 1,200.
Howmet Raises 2026 Guidance as Defense Aerospace Revenue Climbs
Howmet Aerospace raised its 2026 guidance, now expecting revenues of $10.00-$10.10 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $3.21-$3.25 billion, on the back of solid demand in both the defense and commercial aerospace markets. In the first six months of 2026, revenues from the defense aerospace market surged 10.2% year over year, constituting 15.5% of the company's revenues, after rising 21% year over year in 2025. The growth was driven by healthy demand for engine spares, particularly related to the F-35 program, and increased orders for other legacy fighter jet spares, lifting revenues in Howmet's Engine Products segment 30.4% year over year in the first half. The fiscal 2026 Defense Appropriations Act, enacted in February 2026, included substantial funding for defense programs, which could create additional contract opportunities for Howmet. Among peers, RTX posted a record backlog of $289 billion, including $119 billion of defense projects, while GE Aerospace's Defense & Propulsion Technologies segment revenues rose 16% year over year to $3.4 billion in second-quarter 2026.
Generac Jumps on $8 Billion Amazon Backup Generator Deal
Generac shares surged 31% after the company and Amazon executed a long-term supply agreement for backup generators for Amazon's data centers, a deal worth up to $8 billion that includes initial deliveries totaling $2.4 billion in 2027 and 2028 and warrants allowing an Amazon subsidiary to buy Generac shares through 2033. CoreWeave kicked off a fresh round of fundraising that includes a $3 billion convertible bond issue and an at-the-market offering program allowing it to sell as many as 35 million shares from time to time, saying the program will provide financing flexibility and help migrate its credit profile toward investment grade. Lockheed Martin moved on news that the Pentagon and the company struck a framework agreement for a multi-year production contract for the Joint Advanced Tactical Missile, or JATM, which is still in development but close to entering production and would become the most advanced air-to-air missile in the US arsenal, a role long held by RTX's advanced medium range air-to-air missile since 1993; the new missile program is receiving a $2 billion boost in the Trump administration's proposed budget for the fiscal year starting October 1. Boeing faces hard months ahead as CEO Kelly Ortberg and the CFO laid out challenges that surprised investors, including additional testing for the 777X that will spill into next year and a more muted cash outlook.
BWX Technologies Expands Nuclear Manufacturing as 2025 Revenue Rises 18.3%
BWX Technologies is expanding its manufacturing and technology capabilities across advanced nuclear, commercial nuclear and government programs. The company has expanded its Cambridge, Ontario, facility to increase heavy commercial nuclear component manufacturing capacity, and is developing capabilities for high-purity depleted uranium along with investments in uranium processing and advanced manufacturing facilities. Its Innovation Campus in Lynchburg, VA, brings together design, research, engineering, testing and fabrication for advanced nuclear technologies, with R&D spanning advanced reactors, nuclear fuel, additive and autonomous manufacturing, medical radioisotopes and radiopharmaceuticals. BWXT's 2025 revenues increased 18.3% to $3.2 billion. The Zacks Consensus Estimate points to 2026 and 2027 earnings per share growth of 18.45% and 10.73%, respectively, while the stock trades at a forward 12-month price-to-sales of 3.31X versus the industry average of 7.14X.
MUFG Bank to Soon Finalize Its Stance on Defense-Related Lending
It was learned on the 17th that MUFG Bank is moving toward finalizing its internal stance in the near future regarding lending to defense-related companies. The direction is to judge the feasibility of lending on a case-by-case basis according to growth potential and other factors, while taking into account whether such lending is consistent with the government's security policy. The defense industry is one of the 17 fields that the government has positioned as a strategic investment target in its growth strategy, and a policy has been set out to support startups and others through public-private investment with the aim of strengthening the technological and production foundations for dual-use goods such as drones.
Trump Hopes Iran War Is Near Its End, but Saudi-Houthi Clashes Rage, Risking 4% of Oil Supply
US President Donald Trump told reporters on the evening of Wednesday, September 16, that he hopes the war with Iran, now dragging into its seventh month, is nearing an end, saying Iran wants a deal and that he had been contacted directly by Iran, though he did not disclose further details. The remarks came amid escalating tensions after the Saudi Arabian air force launched strikes in Yemen and Houthi rebels retaliated by firing missiles and sending drones to attack various Saudi cities, including the Red Sea oil port of Yanbu and the Khamis Mushait air base in the south, according to a statement by Yahya Saree, spokesman for the Houthi military. The war erupted on February 28, when the United States and Israel launched attacks on Iran, before Tehran fired back at Israel and US bases in the Persian Gulf countries. The attack on Saudi Arabia that damaged the East-West oil pipeline has prompted oil traders to warn that if the pipeline is forced to halt shipments for an extended period, as much as 4% of global oil supply could be lost. Saudi authorities have not yet specified when the pipeline will be able to resume operation. The spread of the war into Yemen is also compounding the global energy shortage, after the earlier conflict cut off shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, which once carried one-fifth of the world's crude oil and liquefied natural gas. As a result, Brent crude traded at around 108 dollars a barrel on Wednesday, near its highest level since May, while US retail diesel prices surged to a record high of more than 6.30 dollars a gallon, which is becoming major political pressure on the Republican Party ahead of the midterm elections in November. Axios reported, citing sources, that President Trump is scheduled to meet with leaders of the Gulf Cooperation Council, or GCC, which comprises Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait and Oman, on the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly in New York next Tuesday, September 22, to discuss the next steps in the war with Iran. The conflict between the Saudi-led alliance and the Houthis, which has been underway since 2015 and had once calmed under a ceasefire agreement, flared up violently again after the Houthis declared a maritime blockade on Saudi Arabia last July.
Trump Orders Exclusion of Canadian Goods from Federal Procurement
U.S. President Donald Trump signed a memorandum on the 16th excluding Canadian goods from the federal government's civilian procurement system. The move is a countermeasure against what the U.S. says has blocked American companies from entering Canada's government procurement market, and the confrontation between the two countries is sharpening amid an exchange of high tariffs. Trump directed the director of the Office of Management and Budget and the U.S. Trade Representative to identify the goods covered and to monitor how U.S. products are treated in Canadian government procurement as well. Amid the intensifying trade friction, Canada has been drawing rapidly closer to the European Union, and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said on the 16th that she envisions making Canada its first "associate member."
UBS Names 10 Industrial Stocks With Up to 62% Upside
UBS has highlighted 10 industrial companies it sees as positioned for a broader capital-spending cycle, with manufacturing, transportation, defense and construction among the areas expected to gain from improving investment conditions. The list includes Lockheed Martin, United Airlines, C.H. Robinson Worldwide, BorgWarner, UL Solutions, Solstice Advanced Materials, Eaton, Advanced Drainage Systems, United Rentals and Packaging Corp. of America, according to a Wednesday report. UBS said the industrial sector is emerging from a prolonged manufacturing downturn, while inventory trends and short-cycle indicators have improved, and it pointed to stronger operating cash flow outside technology as a source of resources for investment. Among the individual companies, UBS assigned price targets ranging from $80 for Solstice Advanced Materials to $1,350 for United Rentals, with Advanced Drainage Systems carrying the largest implied upside at 62%, based on Sept. 11 closing prices. The bank cited potential catalysts including defense demand, airline earnings, freight productivity, electrification, construction activity and packaging pricing, while higher interest rates and weaker economic growth remain risks to the broader industrial outlook.
Boeing Shares Fall 6% as CEO Flags Production and Cash Flow Concerns
Boeing shares fell 6% Wednesday after President and Chief Executive Officer Kelly Ortberg outlined production constraints and revised cash flow expectations at the Morgan Stanley Laguna Conference. Ortberg said Boeing is not yet stable at its target rate of 47 aircraft per month on the 737 program, with wings production serving as a constraint to ramping up output, and that free cash flow above $2 billion is now less likely due to delivery challenges, though the company maintained its full-year guidance of $1 billion to $3 billion in free cash flow. On the 737 MAX 10, which represents roughly 30% of Boeing's 737 backlog, Ortberg said certification is coming "very soon" with all flight testing completed. For the 777X program, testing for certification continues with some expected to spill into 2027, while the company still plans 2027 deliveries and is holding contract discussions with airlines on built 777X aircraft. Ortberg also flagged risks including potential charges on defense programs and delays in engine deliveries for the 787 program, noted Boeing is receiving an "increment" of orders from China, and said the company is working to avoid a work stoppage with the SPEEA union, warning that a strike would shut down the 777X certification program.
RTX Corporation is expanding its defense communications capabilities through its subsidiary Collins Aerospace, which in 2025 was awarded a contract to deliver satellite communication systems supporting survivable communications across multiple frequency bands. Collins Aerospace also secured a role as the primary subcontractor for a U.S. Navy solution involving the engineering design and manufacturing of a Very Low Frequency communication subsystem, along with mission command, control and communications infrastructure, and is additionally supporting Advanced Extremely High Frequency and voice communications. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2026 and 2027 earnings per share suggests year-over-year growth of 14.79% and 7.60%, respectively. RTX is trading at a premium relative to the industry, with a forward 12-month price-to-sales of 2.62X compared with the industry average of 2.28X, and over the past year RTX shares have rallied 23.5% against the industry's 11.3% decline. RTX currently has a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).
World News Roundup: UN Flags Major War as Global Risk, Saudi Arabia Issues Alert, South Korean Court Orders North Korea to Pay 44.6 Billion Won
A United Nations survey found that people around the world are increasingly worried that a large-scale war is a global risk that could materialize in the near future. Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia declared a security alert covering multiple areas on Tuesday, September 15, including the city of Mecca and the city of Jeddah, after being repeatedly attacked over the past week by Iran-aligned armed groups. A South Korean court ordered North Korea to pay 44.6 billion won, or 32.5 million US dollars, in damages to the South Korean government over the destruction of the inter-Korean liaison office building in 2020, marking the first time in history that the South Korean government has sued North Korea and won. Meanwhile, the US Congressional Budget Office disclosed that the war between the United States and Iran over the past six months has already consumed more than 38 billion US dollars in budget spending, with that figure expected to rise by another 3 billion US dollars per month, and it could push inflation up by 0.5% during the first three months of 2027. Separately, Finance Minister Ekniti Nitithanprapas said in an interview with Bloomberg Television yesterday that Thailand may impose an excise tax of around 30% on fully imported electric vehicles, the first disclosure of the rate that could be used to encourage automakers to produce in the country.
CBO Says Iran War Burned $38.1 Billion of U.S. Budget, Depleting Missile Interceptor Stockpile by Two-Thirds
The war with Iran has cost the U.S. Department of Defense a total of $38.1 billion through August 1, and could add another $2 billion to $3 billion per month if the fighting drags on. The Congressional Budget Office, or CBO, estimates that more than half of the cost came from procuring missiles and munitions to replace those expended, while costs from increased flying hours came to $10.4 billion and higher oil prices added another $2.7 billion. The war has also reduced the U.S. stockpile of missile interceptors by as much as two-thirds of the level that existed as of June 2025, largely because the United States helped Israel intercept Iranian attacks, and the CBO says replenishing the stockpile could take at least five years even with expanded production capacity. On the inflation impact, the CBO estimates that the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, or PCE, the inflation gauge the Fed watches most closely, will rise 0.5 point by the first quarter of 2027, while core PCE is expected to be 0.3 point higher, with gasoline and other fuel prices accounting for roughly 40% of the increase in goods prices caused by the war. The release of the new projections may intensify debate over whether the cost of this war was worthwhile, after Trump initially said the war would last only a few weeks, while Democrats campaign on an anti-war platform ahead of the U.S. midterm elections on November 3.
US Said to Plan $2.8B Bomb Sale to Israel, Largest in Years
The United States is preparing to provide Israel with thousands of bombs, the largest single transfer of such weapons in years, in a potential arms package worth as much as $2.8B, The Washington Post reported. The proposed sale is the latest in a series of Trump administration steps to improve Israel's military capacity. The package includes as many as 20,000 MK-84s and 20,000 BLU-117s, as well as up to 20,000 I-2000 Penetrator warheads, weapons described as extremely lethal. Separately, the Iran war has cost an estimated $33.4B as of June 29, according to a report on Operation Epic Fury from the lead inspector general of the Department of Defense submitted to Congress. Iranian strikes destroyed or damaged dozens of U.S. aircraft and drones, including four F-15E fighter jets, one F-35A and one A-10, with the F-35A costing about $92M per plane and the F-15E over $60M per unit.
Northrop Grumman Wins $4.8 Billion Army CIRCM Contract
The US Army has awarded Northrop Grumman Corporation a $4.8 billion contract for the Common Infrared Countermeasure system, a full-rate production award scheduled to run through September 2035. The full $4.8 billion ceiling does not immediately enter backlog, and Northrop has already delivered more than 750 CIRCM shipsets, with the system accumulating over 75,000 operational flight hours on platforms such as the AH-64 Apache and CH-47 Chinook. The award adds to a rapidly expanding pipeline: Northrop secured $20 billion of net awards in Q2, including $7.6 billion for Sentinel, $4.3 billion for restricted programs, and $1 billion for F-35 work, lifting its backlog to a record $104.7 billion. Northrop raised its 2026 sales guidance to a range of $43.8 billion to $44.3 billion from a prior band of $43.5 billion to $44.0 billion, and lifted its MTM-adjusted EPS outlook to $28.60 to $29.10 from $27.40 to $27.90, while maintaining adjusted free cash flow guidance at $3.1 billion to $3.5 billion. Profitability remains the key risk: Q2 overall operating margin dropped to 10.1% from 13.8% a year ago, Defense Systems margin fell to 7.5% from 12.7% on higher costs tied to the AARGM-ER and SiAW programs, and Space Systems absorbed an unfavorable $91 million estimate-at-completion adjustment on GEM 63XL.
Pentagon Raises Boeing KC-46 Contract Ceiling by $13.4 Billion to $19.1 Billion
The Pentagon has expanded the potential value of Boeing's KC-46 Pegasus Combat Capability contract by $13.4 billion, more than tripling the contract's ceiling from $5.7 billion to $19.1 billion and adding Foreign Military Sales work. No funds were obligated at the time of the award, so Boeing's revenue and backlog have not immediately increased; the modified agreement instead expands the framework for future defense sales through April 2035. The addition of Foreign Military Sales work broadens Boeing's potential customer base beyond the US government, with Japan and Israel already included and other partner countries possibly joining later. Investors should treat the $19.1 billion ceiling as a long-term demand opportunity rather than guaranteed revenue, since its economic value depends on how much becomes funded work and how effectively Boeing executes it. Hedge fund positioning remains mixed: 90 funds held the stock at the end of Q2, down from 99 in Q1, with Pentwater Capital Management cutting its stake 13% to 6.2 million shares and Fisher Asset Management raising its position 4% to 6.1 million shares, while short interest rose to 2.02% of public float.
RTX Names Jill Albertelli President of Pratt & Whitney
RTX has appointed Jill Albertelli as president of Pratt & Whitney, effective Jan. 1, 2027, succeeding Shane Eddy, who has decided to retire. Albertelli will report to RTX Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Chris Calio. She most recently served as president of Pratt & Whitney's Military Engines, where she secured the company's sole source propulsion position on the F-35 fighter aircraft and improved F135 engine delivery and quality performance. Eddy will remain with the company through March 2027 as a special advisor to support the transition, after leading Pratt & Whitney since 2022 through a multi-year transformation and the production and sustainment ramp for the Geared Turbo Fan and F135 engines. RTX, headquartered in Arlington, Virginia, reported 2025 sales of more than $88 billion and has more than 180,000 global employees.
Pentagon Inks Missile Production Deals With Boeing and RTX
The Pentagon announced framework agreements with The Boeing Company and RTX Corporation on August 14 to increase component production for the SM-3 Block IIA and SM-3 Block IB interceptors, part of a group of ship-fired, surface-to-air interceptors underpinning the Aegis Ballistic Missile Defense System. The announcement had little impact on the shares, with Boeing down around 0.4% and RTX down about 1% during the day. The move is part of a broader buildup: RTX alone inked five separate Pentagon deals earlier this year to boost output of Tomahawk cruise missiles, AMRAAM air-to-air missiles, and the Standard Missile family, with Tomahawk production expected to increase sixteenfold, from approximately 60 to 1,000 units per year. Congress has backed the effort, with the 2026 defense spending bill providing multiyear procurement authority for eight critical munitions and more than $6.3 billion for 13 critical munitions, while the Pentagon's fiscal 2027 budget request calls for roughly $95 billion in missile procurement. RTX's backlog reached a record $289 billion by the second quarter of 2026, and Boeing is a key contractor supporting Aegis-related and other interceptor programs, though hedge fund ownership fell for both companies between the first and second quarters, from 99 to 90 funds for Boeing and from 95 to 92 for RTX.
RTX unit Pratt & Whitney signed a new production licensing agreement with Hermeus covering the F100-PW-229 fighter engine, and separately completed the F135 Engine Core Upgrade Risk Reduction Design Review for the engine that powers the F-35. The Hermeus accord allows Hermeus to manufacture the F100-PW-229, an engine widely used across U.S. military fighter aircraft fleets, giving Pratt & Whitney another qualified source for one of its most widely fielded fighter engines and supporting supply resilience and throughput. RTX, a US-based aerospace and defense group with a market value of about $266.4b, supplies engines, systems, and services to military, commercial, and government customers. The F135 Engine Core Upgrade review and the F100 production license both speak to RTX's push into technology-heavy defense work while managing engine-related risks. The key marker to watch is whether the F135 Engine Core Upgrade shifts from design milestones into funded production and retrofit orders across the existing fleet, with clear timing and volumes.
RTX Projects Growth on $289B Backlog as Empire State Manufacturing Cools
RTX Chairman and CEO Chris Calio told Morgan Stanley's annual Laguna Conference that the aerospace and defense company holds a backlog of approximately $289 billion, excluding five major munitions framework agreements and a recently awarded seven-year, $23 billion Tomahawk contract. Calio projected medium-term operating margins of 19%-20% for Collins Aerospace and 2026 free cash flow of about $8.6 billion, noting that about 48% of Raytheon's backlog is international, up four percentage points from a year earlier. Separately, the New York Fed's Empire State Manufacturing Index fell to 7.6 in September from 20.6 in August, missing the 14.1 consensus, with new orders slowing sharply to 2.0 from 17.3 and shipments turning negative at -3.2. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told the House Financial Services Committee that the federal deficit-to-GDP ratio declined to 5.7%-5.8% for fiscal year 2026, down from approximately 6.3% inherited from the prior administration. The U.S. FDA also announced the Expedited IND Pilot Program under HHS' Operation TrialBlazer, accepting applications through Oct. 30 and expecting to select eight to 10 sponsor-institution pairs.