Rigetti Computing IncHigh R&D spending vs low revenue, long path to profitability, and risk of dilution from new share issuance.

Rigetti Computing's stock has fallen from around $56 last October to roughly $14, and the base case over the next 18 months points to continued milestone-driven progress without meaningful revenue growth. The company reported just $4.4 million in revenue last quarter while spending $19.9 million on research and development, holding $569 million in cash and short-term investments. A letter of intent with the U.S. Department of Commerce could provide up to $100 million in government funding over three years, and a planned 1,000-plus qubit system in the U.K. is three to four years away. In a bullish scenario, meeting qubit milestones and delivering on an $8.4 million contract with India's Centre for Development of Advanced Computing could eventually lift the stock, while the bear case warns of missed milestones and dilution from new share issuance.
Rigetti Computing IncHigh R&D spending vs low revenue, long path to profitability, and risk of dilution from new share issuance.