Robinhood Markets IncRobinhood's prediction markets face state lawsuits and CFTC litigation over enforcement, with Tenev defending the business as its largest revenue segment.

Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev said on Bloomberg Television that states suing to shut down prediction markets are protecting their own tax revenue from sports betting, citing a "huge financial incentive." American Gaming Association data shows state and local tax collections from sports betting reached $3.71 billion in 2025, up 32.4%, with New York alone accounting for about a third of the national total. Tenev's claim that sportsbooks are state-owned is inaccurate, as most are licensed private companies like FanDuel and DraftKings, though state lotteries, which are state-owned, transferred $30.6 billion in fiscal 2024. Prediction markets are growing rapidly, with Kalshi and Polymarket hitting a record $50.59 billion in notional volume in July, though this is not revenue or a taxable base. The CFTC has sued New York to block enforcement against registered entities, and while the Supreme Court is not yet involved, Tenev expects a line to be drawn regardless of the outcome. Robinhood reported $156 million in event contract revenue in the quarter ended June 30, more than 10 times the year-earlier level, making prediction markets its largest revenue segment.
Robinhood Markets IncRobinhood's prediction markets face state lawsuits and CFTC litigation over enforcement, with Tenev defending the business as its largest revenue segment.
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