SpaceX, OpenAI, Anthropic $5.2 Trillion Tops All US Tech IPOs Since 1980

IndustryMacro Impact 4
โดย 24/7 Wall St.·US·Read original
Summary · why it matters

SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic carry a combined $5.2 trillion valuation that exceeds the combined first-day market value of every U.S. technology IPO from 1980 through 2025, a group of 3,365 offerings worth $4.07 trillion as compiled by University of Florida professor Jay Ritter. SpaceX alone holds a market capitalization of almost $2.1 trillion following its June IPO, in which it raised $85.7 billion, while privately held OpenAI is discussing a new funding round at a valuation of roughly $1.2 trillion, up from $852 billion in March, and privately held Anthropic is reportedly targeting about $2 trillion for a potential IPO now anticipated in November. The comparison carries a large asterisk: SpaceX has a live public-market valuation, OpenAI's figure is a proposed private financing valuation, and Anthropic's is a prospective IPO target. OpenAI projects $278 billion of negative free cash flow from 2026 through 2030, with revenue forecast to rise from $36 billion in 2026 to $350 billion in 2030 against about $856 billion of computing infrastructure spending, while Anthropic expects revenue of as much as $18 billion this year and $55 billion in 2027 but has pushed back positive cash flow until 2028. Apollo Global Management chief economist Torsten Slok warned clients that major technology companies could need to triple their cash flow by 2030 to sustain the industry's AI infrastructure spending, and that otherwise the AI trade could weaken, credit spreads widen, capex plans be cut, and U.S. GDP growth slow.

Impact on assets 2

Space Economy · 1 stocks
Aging Population · 1 stocks
Apollo Global Management LLC Class A
APO
± MixedCapitalrelevance

Apollo's chief economist Torsten Slok warned that tech firms may need to triple cash flow by 2030 to sustain AI infrastructure spending, else the AI trade could weaken and credit spreads widen.

Theme Impact 3

Off-coverage companies 2

AnthropicPrivate▲ Positive
Capitalrelevance

Anthropic is reportedly targeting about $2 trillion for a potential IPO anticipated in November, with revenue expected up to $18 billion this year and $55 billion in 2027.

OpenAIPrivate± Mixed
Capitalrelevance

OpenAI is discussing a new funding round at roughly $1.2 trillion valuation, up from $852 billion in March, but projects $278 billion of negative free cash flow from 2026-2030.

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