SQM Beats Expectations and Raises Lithium Demand Outlook

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Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile reported second-quarter revenue of $2.47 billion, up 136.7% year over year, with net income of $660 million, or $2.31 per share, and adjusted EBITDA of $1.32 billion that beat consensus. Lithium and derivatives revenue rose nearly 300% to $1.78 billion on record sales volume of 84,100 metric tons of lithium carbonate equivalent, up 59%, while the realized price in the Novandino business was about $21.80 per kilogram, up 23% sequentially. Management raised its 2026 global lithium-demand forecast to more than 2.1 million metric tons from roughly 1.9 million, citing battery-energy-storage demand that offset slower-than-expected growth in the battery-electric-vehicle market. The company expects third-quarter lithium prices to remain broadly in line with the first-half average and sales volumes to stay near second-quarter levels, with production costs below 2025 levels. SQM plans approximately $3 billion of capital spending from 2026 through 2028, and Salar Futuro could require about $3 billion over seven years after approvals, while the company accrued more than $1.6 billion in payments to the Chilean state during the first half.

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