Tesla IncQ2 EPS miss and operating margin collapse to 1.4%

Tesla's second-quarter non-GAAP earnings per share of $0.33 missed consensus by 38.51% as operating margin compressed to 1.4%, sending shares down 17.5% the next day despite a 7.10% revenue beat. Operating expenses surged 47% to $4.35 billion, free cash flow flipped to negative $1.09 billion, and capex climbed 141.81% to $5.79 billion, overshadowing record deliveries of 480,126 vehicles. Wedbush analyst Dan Ives maintains a $600 price target on Tesla, implying roughly 83% upside from the current $327.35, based on an AI and autonomous mobility re-rating, but prediction markets are skeptical: Polymarket puts the average August 2026 landing spot at $315.72 and assigns only 14.5% odds to Optimus reaching commercial release by year-end. Tesla carries 23 Buy, 18 Hold, and 6 Sell ratings, with a consensus target of $397.87, while General Motors trades up 9.09% year to date after raising full-year adjusted EPS guidance to $12.00 to $14.00.
Tesla IncQ2 EPS miss and operating margin collapse to 1.4%
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