Tesla Rises as Morgan Stanley Sees $17 Billion Semi Software Opportunity

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Summary · why it matters

Tesla climbed approximately 0.7% to $365.865 on Friday as Morgan Stanley argued investors may be overlooking the earnings potential of the Semi's autonomous software. The firm estimates a fully autonomous Semi could command a Full Self-Driving subscription of $12,000 to $18,000 per month, far above the roughly $100 charged for consumer vehicles. Its 2040 scenario includes 82,000 Semis generating $17 billion in subscription revenue and $7.5 billion in earnings before interest and taxes, implying an EBIT margin of roughly 44%. Tesla began volume production in May and is targeting annual capacity of 50,000 trucks. Diesel prices nearing $6 a gallon sharpened the financial case for the electric truck, though Tesla must still deliver commercial heavy-truck autonomy to turn the vision into an actual business.

Impact on stocks 2

Electrification & Mobility · 1 stocks
Tesla Inc
TSLA
▲ PositiveCapitalrelevance

Morgan Stanley's analyst call flags a $17B autonomous Semi software subscription opportunity and 44% EBIT margin scenario that investors may be overlooking.

Financials · 1 stocks
Morgan Stanley
MS
± MixedCapitalrelevance

Morgan Stanley is the analyst firm issuing the bullish $17B Semi software estimate, but the news is about Tesla's opportunity, not Morgan Stanley's own business.

Theme Impact 4

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