Timken CompanyReddit thesis argues Timken is undervalued relative to robotics peers, with potential for multiple expansion.

A bullish thesis on The Timken Company was posted on the r/ValueInvesting subreddit, arguing the stock is an underappreciated play on humanoid robotics. The thesis highlights that actuators account for 40 to 60 percent of a humanoid robot's bill of materials, and Timken is the only scaled U.S. public supplier of harmonic strain wave gearing through its Cone Drive acquisition. The company's robotics exposure sits within its Industrial Motion segment, which represents roughly 34 percent of sales and is growing at high single to double-digit rates. Despite this, Timken trades at roughly 12 times EV/EBITDA and about 2.1 times EV/Sales, compared to robotics peers like Regal Rexnord at around 15.5 times and Moog above 21 times EV/EBITDA. The thesis suggests a potential re-rating toward 15 to 20 times EV/EBITDA as humanoid adoption scales.
Timken CompanyReddit thesis argues Timken is undervalued relative to robotics peers, with potential for multiple expansion.
Moog Inc
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