Uber Technologies IncUber is underperforming the market as new AV platforms deploy at scale, and it cut 10% of its workforce with shares down 13%.
Uber and Lyft are underperforming the market as autonomous vehicle platforms from Waymo, Tesla, and Zoox begin deploying at scale, according to a new Bank of America note. Uber has cut 10% of its workforce and its stock is down 13%, while Lyft's market cap sits at a paltry $5.8 billion with shares off 20%. Bank of America analyst Justin Post wrote that Uber and Lyft expect their AV ramps to begin scaling in 2028, giving new AV platforms 18 to 24 months to build volumes without incumbent AV competition. Post estimated Waymo has around 4,000 vehicles operating in the US, Tesla has 420 driverless vehicles in operation based on Texas registration data, and Zoox had 50 AVs in operation in September 2025, mostly in Las Vegas. He projects the competitive AV fleet could scale from around 4,500 vehicles today and approximately $570 million in bookings in 2026 to approximately 118,000 vehicles and $15.3 billion in bookings in 2029, with a base case of $6 billion in competitive bookings by 2028, or 5% of the market. Lyft CEO David Risher is pushing out a robotaxi fleet in markets like Nashville and building an 80,000-square-foot warehouse to service it, while Post noted Uber is ramping partnerships with Nvidia, Lucid, Rivian, Volkswagen, Zoox, WeRide, and Pony.ai, which have committed 120k AVs to Uber.
Uber Technologies IncUber is underperforming the market as new AV platforms deploy at scale, and it cut 10% of its workforce with shares down 13%.
WeRide Inc.
Pony AI Inc.
Amazon.com Inc
Alphabet Inc Class C
NVIDIA Corporation
Tesla Inc
Lucid Group Inc
Rivian Automotive Inc
Volkswagen AG VZO O.N.
LYFT IncLyft is underperforming as Waymo, Tesla, and Zoox scale AV fleets, with shares off 20% and a $5.8B market cap amid mounting competitive pressure.
Bank of America Corp
Volkswagen AG