Wells Fargo & CompanyWells Fargo cut its S&P 500 year-end target to 7,700 and warned of a 5-10% pullback, while also raising earnings estimates — a mixed analyst/valuation call on the market.

Wells Fargo lowered its year-end forecast for the S&P 500 to 7,700 from 7,950, warning that stocks could face a five percent to 10% pullback before year-end as earnings momentum matures. The bank raised its earnings estimates to $425 for 2027 and $460 for 2028, but analyst Ohsung Kwon expects weaker valuation multiples to offset part of that projected profit growth. Kwon estimates equities make up 72% of portfolios, the highest share since 1969, and with the 10-year Treasury yield approaching 5%, Wells Fargo sees about 60% as a more appropriate equity allocation, leaving a 12-percentage-point gap. The bank also shifted its sector preferences, moving Technology to Equal Weight from Overweight and raising Health Care to Overweight from Equal Weight. Within Technology, Kwon favors Software over Semiconductors, citing political resistance to data-center projects and currency pressure involving the Korean won as risks for chip companies, and Wells Fargo expects semiconductor stocks could revisit their July lows.
Wells Fargo & CompanyWells Fargo cut its S&P 500 year-end target to 7,700 and warned of a 5-10% pullback, while also raising earnings estimates — a mixed analyst/valuation call on the market.