Critical Materials & Supply Chain▲
J.P. Morgan Upgrades Lithium Americas as Domestic Lithium Projects Advance
J.P. Morgan upgraded Lithium Americas to Overweight, citing improved long-term lithium assumptions, confidence in Thacker Pass execution, and continued U.S. policy support for domestic critical-mineral supply, with engineering more than 95% complete and procurement more than 80% complete at the time of the report. American Battery Technology Company reported progress on a second recycling facility backed by a $150 million U.S. Department of Energy grant, alongside a separate $10 million grant supporting critical-mineral processing technologies. ABAT also announced reinstatement of a $57.7 million Department of Energy cooperative agreement for its Tonopah Flats lithium project, completion of baseline environmental studies, and acceptance of its Plan of Operations by the Bureau of Land Management, with Priority Project designations intended to streamline federal permitting. Standard Lithium is approaching a final investment decision for its Arkansas project, with a potential U.S. government grant and possible bank funding associated with the Smackover Lithium joint venture under discussion. The push to build domestic critical-mineral supply chains has moved from policy discussion to active construction and permitting, but the gap between a defined project and a financed, producing one remains the defining risk across the sector.