Eisman Calls Tesla's 220x Multiple Crazy, Counts Himself a Robotaxi Skeptic

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โดย 24/7 Wall St.·US·Read original
Summary · why it matters

Steve Eisman, the Neuberger Berman senior portfolio manager made famous by The Big Short, said on his weekly wrap podcast that Tesla's valuation only makes sense if investors believe its robotaxi business will conquer the world, adding, "just count me a skeptic." Eisman noted Tesla's 2026 consensus EPS of $1.66 puts its 2026 P/E at 220 times, versus 6.5 times for General Motors, and that the estimate sits 59% below Tesla's 2022 peak EPS of $4.07. Tesla's Q2 2026 8-K, filed July 22, 2026, showed revenue of $28.24 billion, up 25.5% year over year, but non-GAAP EPS of $0.33 that missed the $0.54 estimate by 38.5%, operating income down 56.9% to $398 million, and free cash flow of negative $1.09 billion. On the bull side, Tesla has expanded Robotaxi service to seven U.S. metros with unsupervised rides in Austin, Dallas, Houston, Miami, Orlando, and Tampa, reached 1.48 million active FSD subscriptions, up 56% year over year, and plans 2026 CapEx above $25 billion. GM, meanwhile, posted Q2 2026 adjusted EPS of $3.57, beating the $3.18 estimate by 12.1% for a fifth consecutive beat, and raised full-year guidance to EBIT-adjusted of $14.0B to $16.0B and adjusted EPS of $12.00 to $14.00.

Impact on stocks 2

Electrification & Mobility± Mixed · 2 stocks
Tesla Inc
TSLA
▼ NegativeCapitalrelevance

Tesla's Q2 2026 non-GAAP EPS of $0.33 missed the $0.54 estimate by 38.5%, operating income fell 56.9%, and free cash flow was negative $1.09 billion.

General Motors Company
GM
▲ PositiveCapitalrelevance

GM posted Q2 2026 adjusted EPS of $3.57, beating estimates for a fifth straight quarter, and raised full-year EBIT-adjusted and EPS guidance.

Theme Impact 3

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