Banks Risk Losing $230 Billion in Payments Revenue to Stablecoins, Capgemini Report Warns

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Banks risk losing $230 billion in payments revenue as stablecoins, tokenized deposits and central bank digital currencies move from experimentation to commercialization, according to the Capgemini Research Institute's World Payments Report 2027. The report projects these instruments will account for approximately 4% of global payments volume by 2030, eroding high-margin revenue streams such as foreign exchange spreads, correspondent banking, float income and transaction processing fees. Widespread adoption could unlock as much as USD 4 trillion currently trapped in settlement and liquidity accounts, while nearly 60% of corporate clients say they are willing to source stablecoin services from non-bank providers if their banking partners fail to keep pace. Banks identify tokenized deposits as their top near-term priority, yet only 21% of banks, classified as leaders, are actively scaling at least one accelerated intelligent money instrument, while the remaining 79% are still evaluating their position. Jeroen Hölscher, Global Head of Payment Services at Capgemini, said the industry is entering its most significant period of disruption since the emergence of digital banking, and that with $230 billion at stake banks must decide what role they want to play in the emerging ecosystem.

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