Bayerische Motoren Werke AktiengesellschaftBMW slashes profit outlook due to China slowdown and Iran war hurting demand
BMW issued a severe profit warning, slashing its core automotive operating margin target to 1% to 3% from a previous 4% to 6% and sending shares down over 7% to their lowest since late 2020. The German carmaker now expects group pre-tax profit to drop significantly, reversing an earlier outlook for a mild decline from last year's €10.2 billion, and cut its free cash flow target to just above €2.5 billion. New CEO Milan Nedeljković, who took full operational control last month, announced accelerated cost-cutting that will trigger a heavy one-off charge in the second half of 2026. The warning reflects the compounding damage from China's domestic slowdown—where BMW's deliveries fell 12.5% in 2025 and business has cratered roughly 18% this year through May—and a consumer sentiment chill from the war in Iran that has raised energy costs and frozen high-end purchases. The news dragged down Mercedes-Benz and Volkswagen shares, exposing the vulnerability of German premium automakers reliant on Chinese demand, and may force BMW to consider cutting 10% to 15% of its German manufacturing capacity while accelerating production localization abroad.
Bayerische Motoren Werke AktiengesellschaftBMW slashes profit outlook due to China slowdown and Iran war hurting demand
Volkswagen AGdragged down by BMW's warning, exposed to Chinese demand vulnerability
Mercedes-Benz Group AGdragged down by BMW's warning, exposed to Chinese demand vulnerability
Volkswagen AG VZO O.N.dragged down by BMW's warning, exposed to Chinese demand vulnerability
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