Thai Oil Public Company LimitedOil price decline due to eased Red Sea shipping concerns and Iran peace talks, reducing near-term supply disruption risk.

Crude oil prices declined after reports that some oil tankers were able to transit the Red Sea. West Texas Intermediate stood at 89.31 dollars per barrel, down 2.88 dollars, and Brent was at 96.78 dollars per barrel, down 3.91 dollars. The oil price analysis unit of Thai Oil Public Company Limited noted that a Greek-flagged crude oil tanker and the Hong Kong-flagged New Explorer were able to pass through the Red Sea area, easing short-term shipping concerns. The market also faced pressure from Pakistan's efforts to revive peace talks between the United States and Iran, and technical signals indicating prices may enter a consolidation phase. However, Rapidan Energy Group raised its fourth-quarter Brent crude price forecast to 100 dollars per barrel, up from 85 dollars per barrel, due to escalating tensions in the Strait of Hormuz and the Red Sea. On the supply side, conditions remain tight after Russia's Novorossiysk port suspended oil loadings from July 21, 2026, following a Ukrainian drone attack. The port has an average export volume of about 650,000 barrels per day.
Thai Oil Public Company LimitedOil price decline due to eased Red Sea shipping concerns and Iran peace talks, reducing near-term supply disruption risk.