Liquor stocks rally strongly: Kweichow Moutai surges nearly 6%, institutions expect sector recovery in second half

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The liquor sector staged a strong rebound on July 20, with Kweichow Moutai closing up nearly 6% and its share price reclaiming the 1,320 yuan level. Gujing Gongjiu hit the daily limit up, Luzhou Laojiao rose over 6%, Jinhui Liquor and Shanxi Xinghuacun Fenjiu gained over 5%, and Wuliangye, Yingjia Gongjiu, and Jinshiyuan all closed higher across the board. On the news front, Kweichow Moutai recently announced another price increase for its core blockbuster product, Feitian Moutai, and its non-standard product, the kilogram Moutai. Effective July 18, the retail price of Feitian 53% vol 500ml Kweichow Moutai on the iMoutai platform was raised from 1,539 yuan per bottle to 1,639 yuan per bottle, and the sales contract price was raised from 1,269 yuan per bottle to 1,369 yuan per bottle. The retail price of the kilogram Moutai was raised from 3,119 yuan per bottle to 3,269 yuan per bottle. Institutions believe the price hikes will help boost earnings. Huachuang Securities estimates that, after deducting value-added tax, the corresponding increase in reported revenue will be approximately 5.6 billion yuan, contributing an estimated profit of around 3.6 billion yuan. Recent semi-annual earnings forecasts from several liquor companies indicate the industry remains broadly under pressure, with Shede Spirits, Swellfun, Golden Seed Winery, and Huangtai Liquor posting losses or profit declines in the first half. Zheshang Securities believes the fundamentals have clearly bottomed out, and Kaiyuan Securities expects the sector to likely recover in the second half of the year. At the close, Kweichow Moutai traded at 1,327.5 yuan per share, up 5.95%, with a total market capitalization of 1.66 trillion yuan.

Impact on stocks 12

Others± Mixed · 12 stocks
Jinhui Liquor Co Ltd
603919
▲ PositiveDemandrelevance

Jinhui Liquor gained over 5% as part of the sector rally, but no company-specific news.

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