Robinhood Markets IncMorgan Stanley upgrades to Overweight and raises price target to $150, citing strong prediction market revenue and raised earnings estimates.

Morgan Stanley upgraded Robinhood Markets to Overweight from Equal-weight and raised its price target to $150 from $124, implying roughly 43% upside from Monday's close. Analyst Michael Cyprys highlighted prediction markets as a key driver, noting Robinhood generated $156 million in prediction market revenue in the second quarter from a product used by fewer than 2 million customers, surpassing the $129 million from stock trading and $100 million from crypto. The firm cut its crypto forecasts but raised 2026-2028 earnings estimates by 12% to 15%, now expecting revenue to grow 23% annually to $8 billion by 2028, about 6% above consensus. Robinhood's affiliated exchange Rothera, launched in June, has processed over 3.5 billion contracts, and the company expects a majority of prediction market flow to move through it. However, a Ninth Circuit ruling on Friday cleared the way for Nevada to apply gaming laws to Robinhood, Kalshi, and Crypto.com, which Robinhood plans to appeal, keeping a regulatory cloud over its fastest-growing product.
Robinhood Markets IncMorgan Stanley upgrades to Overweight and raises price target to $150, citing strong prediction market revenue and raised earnings estimates.
Morgan StanleyRothera, Robinhood's affiliated exchange, has processed over 3.5 billion contracts, indicating strong adoption.
Ninth Circuit ruling allows Nevada to apply gaming laws to Crypto.com, creating regulatory risk.
Ninth Circuit ruling allows Nevada to apply gaming laws to Kalshi, creating regulatory risk.