Oil futures rebound after Iran sanction waivers and Hormuz uncertainty

CommodityGeopolitics Impact 4
โดย The Wall Street Journal·Read original
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Oil futures edged higher Tuesday after steep overnight losses, with West Texas Intermediate crude reversing a 1.6% decline to gain 0.5% at $74.21 a barrel while Brent crude held a loss of 0.7% at $77.33 a barrel. The rebound followed a U.S. Treasury announcement permitting Iranian oil to be produced, shipped, and sold under a temporary authorization running through Aug. 21, which had earlier driven a selloff. FOREX.com's Fawad Razaqzada told The Wall Street Journal that weeks of downward pressure had pushed momentum gauges into oversold territory, setting up a snapback, with a ceiling near $76.10 a barrel now representing the first significant hurdle for any rally. Saxo Bank analysts noted the waiver opens a path for moving cargo that had been building at Iranian terminals, with roughly 30 million barrels departing those ports last week alone, while tanker-tracking data captured significant volumes of crude and petroleum products passing through the Strait of Hormuz over the weekend, signaling regional supply routes may be normalizing. Conflicting signals over Hormuz traffic added to market uncertainty, as Tehran announced a closure of the strait over the weekend, a claim U.S. Central Command rejected, and Trump separately claimed Monday's Hormuz throughput reached a record 19 million barrels, a number CNBC was unable to independently confirm. Ritterbusch & Associates flagged an underappreciated bullish undercurrent, noting inventories have eroded to dangerously thin levels, a situation expected to linger for weeks, and that the dual task of rebuilding commercial stocks and replenishing strategic petroleum reserves should lend price support well into next year.

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