Oil Prices Fall Today but Post Biggest Weekly Gain on US-Iran Tensions

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Oil prices declined today but are on track for a sharp weekly gain amid escalating tensions between the United States and Iran, raising concerns about oil supply from the Middle East. As of 20:35 Thailand time, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude for October delivery fell 0.50 dollars, or 0.55%, to 90.80 dollars per barrel. Brent crude for November delivery slipped 0.06 dollars, or 0.04%, to 95.46 dollars per barrel. Despite today's decline, prices have surged this week, with Brent crude jumping 6.5% for the week, the biggest weekly gain since August 17. WTI crude rose 8.4%, marking its strongest weekly advance since July 13. Concerns about supply disruptions due to renewed fighting between the US and Iran, as well as Ukraine's attacks on Russian oil refineries, have pushed the average US diesel price to a record high. Citi raised its third-quarter Brent price forecast to 86 dollars per barrel from 80 dollars, noting that reopening shipping routes through the Strait of Hormuz may take longer than previously expected. ANZ analysts also lifted their Brent forecast to 95 dollars per barrel, with further upside risk if Middle East conflict intensifies.

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