Oracle Set to Report as Wall Street Weighs Capex Risk Against Cloud Growth

EarningsAnalystPrice Action Impact 4
โดย Yahoo Finance·US·Read original
Summary · why it matters

Oracle Corp reports fiscal first-quarter 2027 results Thursday afternoon, with Wall Street split between concerns over ballooning capital expenditures and optimism that data center capacity additions could reaccelerate revenue growth. Bank of America is modeling infrastructure-as-a-service growth of 116% year-over-year and total revenue growth of 28%, up from 21% in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, and expects roughly 1GW of new data center capacity to come online during the quarter. The bank projects gross margin will decline to 63.8% from 68.7% a year earlier, and operating margin to fall to 40% from 41.8%, as the infrastructure mix continues to weigh on profitability. Jefferies flagged financing risk as capex ramps against negative free cash flow and pressured credit ratings, execution risk tied to reported delays at some AI data center sites due to labor, permitting and power availability, and customer concentration, with about 47% of Oracle's backlog tied to a single AI lab. Jefferies expects OCI growth to inflect to 115% year-over-year, a 22-point sequential acceleration, while SaaS growth remains more modest at 11%, and the Street's operating margin estimate of 40.9% would mark Oracle's lowest in 12 quarters. Oracle shares have fallen 25% since the fourth-quarter report and were down around 2% on Thursday morning ahead of the report.

Impact on stocks 4

Cloud & Digital Infrastructure · 1 stocks
Oracle Corporation
ORCL
± MixedCapitalrelevance

Oracle's upcoming Q1 FY2027 report is framed by analyst capex/margin concerns versus expected cloud revenue acceleration, with shares down 25% since last quarter.

Theme Impact 6

Related news

IREN Fair Value Trimmed to US$79.03 as AI Cloud Wins Meet Build Out Risks

IREN's fair value estimate has been trimmed from US$80.93 to US$79.03, a modest adjustment reflecting a mix of growing AI cloud contracts and ongoing questions around execution and supply build out through 2027. The revision lifts revenue growth assumptions to 168.01% from 125.79% and net profit margin expectations to 11.73% from 5.79%, while the future P/E assumption drops to 31.26x from 90.29x and the discount rate rises to 9.41% from 8.83%. On the bullish side, JPMorgan shifted IREN from Underweight to Overweight with a US$65 price target, citing a partnership with Nvidia, new customer signings and higher industry pricing, while H.C. Wainwright raised its target to US$90 after IREN announced US$2.8b of new multi year AI cloud contracts and lifted its 2026 AI cloud annual recurring revenue target to more than US$4b. Northland initiated IREN at Outperform with a US$99 price target, and Freedom Capital upgraded the stock from Hold to Buy. Freedom Capital nonetheless flagged execution on supply additions over the next two years as a central risk, noting the story depends heavily on adding capacity on schedule.
Simply Wall St·9hRead more →
impact 4

Nvidia-Backed Nscale Files for US IPO After $1.02 Billion Loss

Nscale, the London-based AI data center developer backed by Nvidia and Microsoft, filed publicly for an initial public offering in New York, seeking to raise as much as $3 billion. The company reported a net loss of $1.02 billion on revenue of $140.6 million for the six months ended June 30, compared with a net loss of $368.9 million on revenue of $10.4 million a year earlier, according to its Friday filing with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Spun off from a cryptocurrency mining operation in early 2024, Nscale was valued at about $14.6 billion in a March Series C round led by Aker ASA and 8090 Industries, with Nvidia and Nokia Oyj also participating. The company has agreed to add more than 30,000 Nvidia chips to an existing rental agreement with Microsoft at its Narvik, Norway gigafactory, and Anthropic has agreed to spend $45 billion to rent AI cloud computing power from its flagship West Virginia data center development. The offering is being led by Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase and Morgan Stanley, with shares expected to trade on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol NSCL.
Bloomberg·11hRead more →
2

Tigress Analyst Raises Alphabet Price Target to Street-High $485

Tigress Financial Partners analyst Ivan Feinseth reiterated a Strong Buy rating on Alphabet and raised his price target to a Street-high $485 from $415, implying roughly 39.6% upside. The bullish thesis centers on Alphabet turning its massive AI investments into growth across Search, Cloud and Gemini, with Feinseth arguing AI Overviews and AI Mode can make Google more useful for complex, high-intent queries. Recent results support that argument: Alphabet's second-quarter revenue rose 24% from a year earlier to $119.8 billion, Search and Other revenue increased 17%, YouTube advertising grew 13%, and operating income climbed 30% to $40.77 billion. Google Cloud revenue surged 82% to $24.8 billion, operating income more than tripled to $8.8 billion, margins reached 35.6%, and its $514 billion backlog gives visibility into future enterprise demand. Gemini has reached 950 million monthly active users, more than 9 million monthly developers and roughly 22 billion API tokens processed per minute, and Feinseth sees monetization opportunities across subscriptions, APIs, enterprise software, agents and productivity products, though the risk remains that Alphabet must prove its enormous AI spending generates sufficient returns.
GuruFocus·12hRead more →