Peabody Energy CorpU.S. Treasury license for Iranian oil sales removes war premium from crude, lowering coal's competitive advantage and pressuring Peabody's revenue outlook.

Peabody Energy shares fell 2.8% to close at $24.12 after the U.S. Treasury issued a 60-day general license authorizing the production and sale of Iranian crude oil, extending a de-escalation trade that began when Washington and Tehran signed an interim peace framework the previous week. The license, announced by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, clears Iranian barrels to flow legally through August 21 and removes another layer of the roughly $50-per-barrel war premium still embedded in crude. The move follows a 14-point memorandum of understanding committing Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and allow IAEA inspectors to return, though Iran re-announced the strait's closure over the weekend citing Israeli ceasefire violations, even as maritime data showed tankers continuing to transit. The IEA warned that if the framework holds fully, 2027 global supply could outstrip demand by 5.05 million barrels per day, a structural headwind for energy equities. Peabody Energy is down 21.7% year-to-date and trades 39.2% below its 52-week high of $39.50 from March 2026.
Peabody Energy CorpU.S. Treasury license for Iranian oil sales removes war premium from crude, lowering coal's competitive advantage and pressuring Peabody's revenue outlook.