Small-cap stocks enjoy their best first half in 35 years

Industry
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Summary · why it matters

Small-cap U.S. stocks are capping off their strongest first half since 1991, with the Russell 2000 Index surging more than 21% this year. The rally has been driven by the rapid buildout of AI infrastructure, as spending spreads beyond the largest technology companies to a broader network of suppliers. Semiconductor and semiconductor-equipment companies have been the biggest winners, with chip-related companies accounting for 16 of the Russell 2000's 50 best-performing stocks this year, including Aehr Test Systems, Ichor Holdings and MaxLinear, which have all rallied more than 400%. Strategists say the small-cap rebound has been supported by a broader set of fundamental tailwinds, with consensus forecasts for Russell 2000 companies' 2026 earnings growth climbing to 38% from about 23% at the start of the year. The biggest threat to the rally may be higher interest rates, as Bank of America estimates that every additional 25-basis-point hike would reduce Russell 2000 operating earnings by about 2%.

Impact on stocks 6

Semiconductors · 3 stocks
Artificial Intelligence · 2 stocks
Information Technology · 1 stocks

Theme Impact 5

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