Swarmer's Ratel Robotics Deal Could Drive $200M in 2027 Revenue

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Swarmer, Inc. could reach $200 million in pro forma revenue and $20 million in adjusted EBITDA in 2027 through its pending acquisition of Ukrainian unmanned-ground-vehicle maker Ratel Robotics, according to a research note from Lucid Capital Markets. Swarmer, whose non-executive chairman is Blackwater founder Erik Prince, has a definitive agreement to buy Ratel for up to $224 million, and the note cites $86 million in secured contracts and roughly 37% of Ukrainian government UGV procurement spending. The company will pay about $7.2 million in cash and 1.1 million shares at closing, with most of the remainder tied to Ratel meeting earnout targets. Swarmer held roughly $25 million in cash at the end of the second quarter and raised another $18 million through its equity line as of Aug. 17, giving it about $43 million in pro forma cash. Lucid set a $60 price target based on 24 times EV/sales of an estimated $40 million in 2028 revenue excluding the Ratel deal, while on a pro forma basis, assuming Ratel hits its earnouts, Swarmer could trade at around 4 times 2027 EV/sales and 35 times 2027 EV/EBITDA, compared with an average of 5.5 times 2027 EV/sales for peers including Ondas Holdings, Red Cat Holdings, Unusual Machines and Draganfly.

Impact on stocks 7

Defense & Geopolitical Fragmentation · 3 stocks
Swarmer, Inc Common Stock
SWMR
▲ PositiveCapitalrelevance

Lucid Capital note projects $200M 2027 pro forma revenue and sets a $60 price target on Swarmer's pending $224M Ratel Robotics acquisition.

Robotics & Physical AI · 3 stocks
Energy Transition & Power Demand · 1 stocks

Theme Impact 3

Off-coverage companies 2

Lucid Capital MarketsPrivate± Mixed
relevance

Ratel RoboticsPrivate± Mixed
relevance

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