Tesla deliveries beat estimates but Robotaxi and AI still drive valuation, analysts say

EarningsAnalyst
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Summary · why it matters

Tesla's stronger automotive performance should improve near-term earnings and help finance its artificial intelligence investments, but Morgan Stanley and Barclays said Robotaxi, Full Self-Driving and Optimus remain the main drivers of the stock's valuation. Tesla delivered 480,126 vehicles during the second quarter, beating sell-side expectations by 18% and recording its strongest growth rate since the third quarter of 2023. Morgan Stanley raised its 2026 and 2027 delivery forecasts to 1.67 million and 1.86 million vehicles, respectively, and expects second-quarter adjusted earnings of $0.69 per share, above the $0.49 consensus. Barclays projects adjusted earnings of $0.55 per share, above the $0.47 consensus, but expects automotive margins to decline sequentially. Both firms maintained Equal Weight ratings, with Morgan Stanley raising its price target to $417 from $415 and Barclays lifting its target to $370 from $360, still below Tesla's share price when the report was published.

Impact on stocks 5

Electrification & Mobility · 2 stocks
Tesla Inc
TSLA
▲ PositiveDemandrelevance

Q2 deliveries beat estimates by 18%, strongest growth since Q3 2023

Financials · 2 stocks
Robotics & Physical AI · 1 stocks

Theme Impact 1

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