POSCO HoldingsUBS is bullish on lithium, citing battery output outpacing EV growth on storage and exports, and maintains Buy rating on POSCO.
UBS argues that lithium bears are focused on the wrong metric, as the market’s binding constraint is spodumene feedstock, not total tonnes of supply. Wood Mackenzie’s cautious view hinges on saturating China EV sales and a supply response to higher prices, but UBS counters that refining capacity in China runs ahead of mine output, keeping spodumene volatile and headline supply figures misleading. UBS’s recent China feedback was more bullish than expected, with battery output outpacing EV growth on storage and exports, and a pullback in GFEX futures was driven by confusion over ESS shipment data rather than real demand softening. Near-term forces include a reduction in China’s battery export rebate from 9 percent to 6 percent in April 2026 and its elimination by January 2027, which pulls demand forward, while CATL’s lepidolite mine remains offline with a potential H2 2026 restart of around 40,000 tonnes of lithium carbonate equivalent. UBS stays overweight with Buy ratings on Liontown, IGO, Mineral Resources, Albemarle, POSCO, and Patriot Metals.
POSCO HoldingsUBS is bullish on lithium, citing battery output outpacing EV growth on storage and exports, and maintains Buy rating on POSCO.
Albemarle CorpUBS is bullish on lithium, citing battery output outpacing EV growth on storage and exports, and maintains Buy rating on Albemarle.
UBS Group AGUBS is bullish on lithium, citing battery output outpacing EV growth on storage and exports, and maintains Buy rating on IGO.
UBS is bullish on lithium, citing battery output outpacing EV growth on storage and exports, and maintains Buy rating on Liontown.
UBS is bullish on lithium, citing battery output outpacing EV growth on storage and exports, and maintains Buy rating on Mineral Resources.