Yen Slide Could Hand Japan Automakers $5.8 Billion Boost

MacroDigital Finance
โดย GuruFocus·Read original
Summary · why it matters

Japan's weakening yen could deliver a combined profit upside of roughly 934 billion yen, or $5.8 billion, to the country's major automakers if the currency stays near current levels, according to Bloomberg estimates. Toyota, Honda, Nissan, Subaru, and Mazda all used more conservative exchange-rate assumptions in their forecasts, with Toyota's May forecast assuming 150 per dollar while the yen has been trading around 161. Toyota estimates that every 1 yen decline against the dollar adds 50 billion yen to operating profit, and Bloomberg-compiled analyst estimates average 4 trillion yen for Toyota's operating profit, above its 3 trillion yen forecast. The setup could strengthen further as energy and raw material costs ease, with crude down more than 30% in yen terms from its late-April peak, and Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Tatsuo Yoshida said the shift could become a major positive factor for Toyota and Honda. Outside automakers, the impact is more mixed, with airlines potentially benefiting from lower jet fuel prices but still facing dollar-linked cost pressures, while a survey showed 40.7% of companies said the late-May exchange rate near 159 per dollar had a negative impact.

Impact on stocks 5

Electrification & Mobility · 5 stocks
Toyota Motor Corp.
7203
▲ PositiveMonetaryrelevance

Weaker yen boosts profit forecasts; Toyota is the primary subject with specific estimates.

Honda Motor Co., Ltd.
7267
▲ PositiveMonetaryrelevance

Weaker yen boosts profit forecasts; Honda benefits from favorable exchange rate.

Nissan Motor Co., Ltd.
7201
▲ PositiveMonetaryrelevance

Weaker yen boosts profit forecasts; Nissan benefits from favorable exchange rate.

Mazda Motor Corp.
7261
▲ PositiveMonetaryrelevance

Weaker yen boosts profit forecasts; Mazda benefits from favorable exchange rate.

Subaru Corporation
7270
▲ PositiveMonetaryrelevance

Weaker yen boosts profit forecasts; Subaru benefits from favorable exchange rate.

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