Bangchak Corporation Public Company LimitedLifting diesel export ban earlier than expected boosts 2026 earnings; BCP has highest diesel yield at 43%.
Energy stocks rose, led by BCP, TOP, PTT, and PTTEP, following news that the Energy Minister proposed lifting the ban on diesel exports. If implemented by early September, it would be earlier than the expected resumption in Q4 2026, providing an upside to 2026 earnings of about 0.5-1%. The biggest beneficiaries are those with high diesel yields, such as BCP at 43%, followed by SPRC and TOP at 37%. Meanwhile, Krungsri Securities maintains a bullish view on the refinery group, expecting refining margins to remain above the 10-year average, resulting in yields of 3-13%, led by SPRC, BCP, and TOP, respectively. Additionally, ongoing tensions in the Middle East and disruptions in shipping through the Strait of Hormuz continue to support crude oil prices and energy stocks.
Bangchak Corporation Public Company LimitedLifting diesel export ban earlier than expected boosts 2026 earnings; BCP has highest diesel yield at 43%.
Thai Oil Public Company LimitedHigh diesel yield (37%) and bullish refining margins outlook.
PTT Public Company LimitedBeneficiary of diesel export resumption; part of refinery group with expected high refining margins.
Star Petroleum Refining Co LtdHigh diesel yield (37%) makes it a major beneficiary of export resumption.
PTT Exploration and Production Public Company LimitedMiddle East tensions and Hormuz disruptions support crude prices, benefiting upstream producer.