Nasdaq 100 Hits Record as Markets Eye Trump-Xi Summit

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The Nasdaq 100 posted its best session since early August on Monday, surging 2.8% to a record close as investors concluded that AI-driven earnings growth has made the Federal Reserve's latest rate hike a secondary concern. Meta added approximately 12% on the same session, boosted by the breakout success of its AI agent app Muse, while U.S. crude oil tumbled 4.5% and Brent fell 3.4%, pulling the 10-year Treasury yield down more than four basis points to 4.95%. The Fed raised its benchmark rate by 25 basis points last week to a target range of 3.75%-4.00%, its first rate increase since 2023, with projections showing the policy rate peaking at 4.00%-4.25% by year-end before holding steady through 2027, well below the 5.5% ceiling hit in the prior tightening cycle. The week's central event is the Trump-Xi summit scheduled for Thursday at the White House, where Boeing orders, rare earths, and AI regulation are on the agenda, with markets focused above all on whether the U.S.-China tariff truce, currently set to expire on November 10, will be extended into 2027. Yardeni Research analysts called it arguably the most consequential encounter of either man's presidency, warning that failure to extend the truce by November 10 risks reigniting triple-digit tariff escalation that would disproportionately hit semiconductor supply chains, while noting that Chinese exports surged 25% year over year in August after rising 23.9% in July and Chinese shipments to the United States are up 6.1% so far this year despite U.S. tariffs.

Impact on assets 5

Artificial Intelligence · 2 stocks
Defense & Geopolitical Fragmentation · 1 stocks

Theme Impact 7

Off-coverage companies 1

Yardeni ResearchPrivate± Mixed
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