Big-box and warehouse stores selling essentials cheaply in bulk — the membership warehouse clubs and discount stores where families stock up.
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Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail▼
Webuy Global Receives Nasdaq Minimum Bid Price Deficiency Notice
Webuy Global said on Friday it received a Nasdaq notice after its Class A shares closed below $1 for 30 consecutive business days from July 31 to Sept. 11, violating the exchange's minimum bid price requirement.
Costco Expands Same-Day Delivery via DoorDash and Uber
Costco is expanding its same-day delivery network through new and broadened partnerships with DoorDash and Uber as it looks to grow e-commerce sales and compete with retailers like Walmart and Target. DoorDash announced that Costco members can now order groceries, dry goods, household essentials and other products through the DoorDash app for fast delivery from their local store, extending an existing relationship between the companies in Australia, New Zealand, Sweden, Iceland and Puerto Rico. Uber announced a major expansion of its Costco partnership to deliver products in 47 states, up from 17 states, with nearly 600 Costco locations now available on the Uber Eats app for on-demand and scheduled delivery. Costco is also available on Uber Eats in Canada, Mexico, Japan, Taiwan, France and Spain. The expansion of food and grocery delivery platforms into retail delivery underscores the rapid evolution of the parcel delivery market, where online sales now represent 16.5% of total retail sales and are growing at about 10% per year, according to the U.S. Census Bureau, while alternative carriers now make up about 8.5% of the parcel freight market, up from 2.6% of parcel volume in 2021, according to The Colography Group.
Target to Hold Circle Deal Days Oct. 6-7 With 40% Off Thousands of Items
Target confirmed on Sept. 15 that it will hold its latest Target Circle Deal Days on Oct. 6-7, a two-day sale rewarding members of the free Target Circle loyalty program. The event offers 40% off thousands of items spanning apparel, kitchen gadgets, home decor, toys, beauty and tech, with early access beginning Oct. 5 for members of the paid Target Circle 360 tier. Highlights include 40% off select family clothing from brands like Cat & Jack and Goodfellow, up to 40% off Dyson vacuums and holiday decor, 30% off Threshold furniture, up to 65% off Vera Bradley, and 30% off select skincare, haircare and cosmetics. New members who join between Sept. 27 and Oct. 5 get 15% off their first purchase, those who sign up for an annual Circle 360 membership between Sept. 27 and Oct. 10 receive $50 in Target Circle Rewards, and shoppers approved for a Target Circle Card in that window can earn $75 in rewards. The push follows second-quarter results showing net sales up 5.3% year over year to $26.5 billion and comparable sales up 3.8%, though Bank of America analyst Christopher Nardone said he remains wary about the durability of the comp-sales trend.
Costco Expected to Declare Record Special Dividend After September 24 Earnings
Costco is expected to declare a record special dividend later this year, a possibility that could be signaled when the warehouse club operator reports its fiscal fourth-quarter results on Sept. 24. The company has already reported net sales rose 11.3% to $93.9 billion for the 16 weeks of the fiscal period that ended late last month, fueled largely by a 10.7% jump in comps at its stateside stores. Costco has delivered 22 straight years of dividend hikes, but its 0.7% yield has been overshadowed by special distributions declared every two or three years: $15 a share on Dec. 27, 2023, $10 on Dec. 1, 2020, $7 on May 8, 2017, $5 on Feb. 5, 2015, and $7 on Dec. 6, 2012. With three years now elapsed since the last payout, the article argues a substantial one-time dividend is likely before the end of this year, though the last two December payouts were declared in November and December rather than at the earnings report itself. Any language during the Sept. 24 earnings call suggesting the cash Costco has been stockpiling since 2023 is growing would be a dead giveaway.
Costco Reports Q4 September 24 With DoorDash Deal Too Late to Count
Costco reports fiscal fourth-quarter results after the close on Wednesday, September 24, 2026, and its same-day delivery tie-up with DoorDash went live after the quarter closed, so the new channel cannot contribute to reported sales or earnings. The quarter covers the roughly 16-week period ending in late August or early September, and management has disclosed no fee split, margin effect, or volume target for the partnership. Costco's digital business was already accelerating without it, with fiscal Q3 2026 digitally-enabled comparable sales of 21.5% and e-commerce site and app traffic up 37%, following 22.6% digital comps in Q2. Membership economics remain the moat: Q3 brought 82.9 million paid members, membership fees of $1.37 billion, up 10.7%, and a worldwide renewal rate of 89.7%. The stock enters the quarter at $893.93, down 7.01% over the past month, and trades at a P/E of 45x, with analysts carrying a target of $1,072.20.
Target Raises Fiscal 2026 Outlook After Q2 Earnings Beat
Target reported second-quarter fiscal 2026 results that beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate on both the top and bottom lines, prompting management to raise its full-year sales and earnings outlook. Adjusted earnings came in at $4.11 per share, up from $2.05 a year earlier and above the consensus estimate of $2.30, with the quarter including tariff refund benefits of $1.65 per share; excluding those refunds, earnings per share rose 20% year over year to $2.46. Net sales reached $26,539 million, surpassing the consensus estimate of $26,129 million and rising 5.3% from $25,211 million, while comparable sales increased 3.8% against a decline of 1.9% in the year-ago quarter. Gross margin expanded 470 basis points to 33.7%, including a 370-basis-point benefit from $994 million of tariff refunds, and operating income soared 94.4% to $2,560 million. For fiscal 2026, Target now expects net sales growth of around 5%, an operating income margin rate of about 6%, and adjusted earnings per share of $9.90 to $10.90, a range that includes the second-quarter tariff refund benefits but excludes any potential future refunds.
Target Rated Zacks Rank #2 as Earnings Estimates Rise
Target is rated Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), with the consensus estimate for the current quarter rising 8.5% over the last 30 days to $2.05 per share, a year-over-year change of +15.2%. The consensus earnings estimate of $10.43 for the current fiscal year indicates a year-over-year change of +37.8% and has changed +5% over the last 30 days, while the next fiscal year's consensus estimate of $9.38 indicates a change of -10% and has changed +4.2% over the past month. For the current quarter, the consensus sales estimate of $26.32 billion indicates a year-over-year change of +4.2%, and for the current and next fiscal years, $109.81 billion and $113.24 billion estimates indicate +4.8% and +3.1% changes, respectively. Target reported revenues of $26.54 billion in the last reported quarter, a year-over-year change of +5.3%, with EPS of $2.46 versus $2.05 a year ago, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $26.13 billion by a revenue surprise of +1.57% and an EPS surprise of +6.96%. The company beat consensus EPS estimates in each of the trailing four quarters and topped consensus revenue estimates two times over this period, and it is graded B on the Zacks Value Style Score, indicating it is trading at a discount to its peers.
Target Fair Value Estimate Raised to US$162.76 After Q2 Analyst Target Hikes
Analysts raised their fair value estimate for Target from about US$133.84 to roughly US$162.76, an increase of around 22%, following a wave of higher price targets across Wall Street after Q2 results. Wells Fargo, UBS, Guggenheim, DA Davidson, and Gordon Haskett lifted their price targets into the US$175 to US$200 range, citing improved comps and a turnaround in store traffic and merchandising, while RBC Capital, Telsey Advisory, and Jefferies pointed to Target's merchandising reset and category strength in Food, Beauty, and Baby. Oppenheimer, Mizuho, and Wolfe Research emphasized management changes, a cultural shift toward faster execution, and store remodels as signs the recovery is gaining traction beyond a single quarter. On the cautious side, BofA, Barclays, and Deutsche Bank kept more conservative ratings even after raising targets, flagging apparel and home as execution risks, and Roth Capital and Piper Sandler cited decelerating trends in some categories, slower high-margin ad revenue, and lagging digital growth versus Amazon and Walmart. The revised fair value estimate assumes revenue growth of roughly 3.37%, up from about 2.97%, a profit margin of about 3.83% versus roughly 3.59%, a future P/E multiple of roughly 20.0x versus about 18.0x, and a discount rate of roughly 7.38% versus about 7.34%.
Two U.S. Senators Ask FTC to Investigate Amazon and Walmart Over Shopping-Assistant AI
Two U.S. senators have asked the Federal Trade Commission to investigate shopping-assistant AI from Amazon.com and Walmart. In a letter to the FTC, Senators Tammy Baldwin and Rick Scott said Amazon's Alexa for Shopping and Walmart's Sparky may exclude American-made products from what they display or fail to detect false labeling, undermining U.S. manufacturing and misleading consumers. The senators cited research from a think tank led by former FTC Chair Lina Khan, which found that these AIs provide information about products made in China and other countries while suppressing information about American-made goods. The letter cites that research and notes that when Alexa was asked why there was no made-in-USA filter, it replied that doing so would "take away considerable sales from our largest seller base" and referred to overseas manufacturers. An Amazon spokesperson said the claim that the company deliberately withholds country-of-origin information is fundamentally wrong, and explained that Alexa for Shopping is a service that is continuously improving and that, to prioritize accuracy, it currently directs customers who ask about country of origin to the product detail page. The FTC declined to comment, and Walmart did not immediately respond to a request for comment from Reuters.
Costco Expands DoorDash and Uber Delivery as Membership Growth Slows
Costco Wholesale Corp. is widening its same-day delivery reach through DoorDash and Uber Eats as its membership growth slows. DoorDash is rolling out same-day delivery from Costco warehouses nationwide, just a day after Uber Eats expanded its own Costco service to 48 states. Costco had 82.9 million members as of June, yet membership growth was down 4% year-over-year, a concern because membership fees supply the company with high-margin recurring revenue and foster consumer loyalty. Costco's net sales for fiscal 2026 were $297.3 billion, up 10% from the prior year, but its stock is up only around 4% this year, compared with a gain of more than 10% for the S&P 500. The delivery partnerships could be especially crucial for younger consumers, a group Costco has struggled to attract and retain, and the next test is whether the expanded digital footprint can translate into faster membership growth.
Senators Ask FTC to Investigate Walmart and Amazon 'Made in USA' Claims
Senators Tammy Baldwin and Rick Scott are asking the Federal Trade Commission to investigate whether Walmart and Amazon are doing enough to keep foreign-made products from being mislabeled as "Made in the USA." The letter to the FTC asks the agency to examine how Walmart's Sparky and Amazon's Alexa AI shopping chatbots verify products' country of origin. It cites a study from Columbia University's Center for Law and Economy, which found that both companies have the technical capability to detect and flag "Made in USA" fraud, and that Amazon's Alexa blocks answers to questions about "Made in USA" products while allowing equivalent questions about products that were "Made in China." The study says these shortcomings let third-party sellers falsely claim merchandise was made in the U.S., and that both chatbots describe the inaction as a business decision rather than a technical limitation. Last year, the FTC wrote to both companies about third-party sellers falsely claiming their products were made in the U.S., in violation of the agency's 2021 "Made in USA" labeling rule. Walmart and Amazon have not yet responded to Seeking Alpha's request for comment.
Costco Expected to Post Higher Earnings and Revenue for Quarter Ended August 2026
Costco is expected to report a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when it releases results for the quarter ended August 2026 on September 24. The Zacks Consensus Estimate calls for quarterly earnings of $6.48 per share, a year-over-year change of +10.4%, on revenues of $94.82 billion, up 10.1% from the year-ago quarter. The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.18% higher over the last 30 days, but the Most Accurate Estimate sits below the consensus, producing an Earnings ESP of -0.19% and a Zacks Rank of #3, a combination that makes an earnings beat difficult to predict conclusively. In the last reported quarter, Costco was expected to post earnings of $4.91 per share and actually produced $4.93, a surprise of +0.41%, and the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates four times over the last four quarters.
Costco Expands Uber Eats Delivery to 48 States From 17
Costco Wholesale expanded its Uber Eats delivery coverage to 48 U.S. states from 17, putting nearly 600 Costco locations on the platform. Shares of Costco rose about 1% on Wednesday following the announcement. The wider rollout gives members another way to order groceries, household products and other merchandise online, and could broaden the retailer's digital reach as it works to maintain engagement with its membership base. Costco had 82.90 million members as of June 20, down 4% from the same period a year earlier. Uber Eats is also offering eligible Costco members 50% off an annual Uber One subscription during the first year, followed by a 20% discount in subsequent years, and Costco products are available through Uber Eats in several international markets, including Canada, Mexico, Japan, Taiwan, France and Spain.
Costco and Uber Expand Delivery Partnership to 47 States and Nearly 600 Warehouses
Costco Wholesale and Uber Technologies are sharply expanding their U.S. delivery partnership, making Costco available through Uber Eats in 47 states and nearly 600 warehouses, up from 17 states previously. Costco members can now order groceries, fresh produce, household essentials, bulk products and Costco-exclusive merchandise through Uber Eats for either scheduled or on-demand delivery, entering their membership information at checkout to access member pricing while Uber handles ordering, delivery scheduling and real-time tracking. The companies are also tying the expansion to their membership programs: eligible Costco members can receive 50% off an annual Uber One membership in the first year and 20% off in following years, participating Costco locations and Costco.com will temporarily offer $100 Uber or Uber Eats gift cards for $79.99, customers who buy a Costco membership through Uber Eats can receive 30% off their first qualifying Costco order, and Uber One members receive no Uber fees on eligible grocery and retail orders above $60. Costco already works with Uber Eats internationally in Canada, Mexico, Japan, Taiwan, France and Spain. Uber COO Andrew Macdonald said the nationwide partnership demonstrates the scale and opportunity Uber can bring to retailers looking to meet more of consumers' everyday shopping needs.
Costco expands Uber Eats delivery to 47 states from 17
Costco Wholesale Corp. has expanded its Uber Eats partnership to 47 states from 17, bringing delivery from nearly 600 warehouses onto the platform. Customers can order Costco's full assortment through Uber Eats, with members verifying their membership before purchasing. The partnership goes beyond delivery: some Costco members will receive discounts on Uber One, and shoppers will be able to buy Costco memberships directly through the Uber Eats app. Costco gains another way to reach customers who expect groceries and household products at their door, while Uber gains one of America's largest retailers as it pushes Eats beyond restaurant delivery. Competition is intensifying, with DoorDash, Instacart and Amazon already competing heavily for grocery orders and Walmart expanding its own delivery ambitions.
Walmart Marketplace Growth Tops 50% in First Two Quarters
Walmart said its Marketplace business grew more than 50% in each of its first two quarters, driven by multi-year investments in assortment, pricing, delivery speed, fulfillment and product discovery rather than any single operational change. Manish Joneja, Walmart's senior vice president and global head of Marketplace and Fulfillment Services, told a Piper Sandler discussion that the company is using its 4,500 U.S. stores as fulfillment nodes, allowing third-party Marketplace inventory to be forward-deployed to store backrooms and enabling pickup or delivery in as little as 30 minutes in some areas. Joneja said 95% of the U.S. population lives within a three-hour delivery range of a Walmart store, while 60% is within a sub-30-minute range, and that Walmart's online pickup and delivery business grew 43% in the most recent quarter. Walmart Fulfillment Services, which accounted for 50% of Marketplace sales, delivers conversion rates more than 50% higher and costs 15% lower for participating sellers, and combining WFS with advertising has in some cases produced five times gross merchandise value growth. Walmart is also extending the Marketplace model to Canada, Mexico and Chile, opening walmart.com to Canadian and Mexican shoppers seeking U.S. assortment and letting sellers reach multiple markets through a single entry point.
Walmart and SCAN Health Plan to Offer Co-Branded Medicare Advantage Plans
Walmart and SCAN Health Plan announced a partnership on Wednesday to offer co-branded Medicare Advantage plans in two states, targeting a pool of more than two million Medicare enrollees. The plans, pending regulatory approval, may include pharmacy, vision, food, and over-the-counter benefits, with open enrollment for Medicare Advantage beginning Oct. 15. A central feature of the partnership is Walmart's Everyday Health Signals platform, an AI tool designed to provide personalized nutrition and wellness guidance based on members' shopping preferences and self-reported wellness goals. SCAN Group is a nonprofit whose health plan serves nearly 460,000 members across 33 counties in California, Arizona, Nevada, Texas, New Mexico, and Washington, with about half a million members and patients across all of its affiliated entities. The Walmart deal follows a similar move by SCAN with Costco Wholesale, which covers two states for Medicare Advantage products and a third for a Medicare supplement plan, with a combined pool of around five million Medicare enrollees. The two companies did not disclose the financial terms of Wednesday's deal.
Dollar General Warns Shopper Pressure to Persist Through Second Half of 2026
Dollar General executives said the retailer expects its core customers to remain under pressure through the second half of 2026, as sustained inflation and higher fuel prices push shoppers to visit more often but buy fewer items per trip. Chief Executive Officer Todd Vasos said the core consumer, generally those earning $40,000 to $45,000 or less, is cutting basket sizes, and that middle- and upper-middle-income shoppers are showing similar behavior, with some customers earning more than $100,000 saying they no longer feel like high-income consumers. The company is leaning on value, offering more than 2,000 items priced at $1 or less, and said Value Valley comparable sales rose 16% in the second quarter, while its seasonal $1 assortment for the second half is up 40% from a year earlier. Delivery contributed 40 basis points to second-quarter comparable-sales growth and has introduced more than 1 million customers to the retailer's stores, and Dollar General plans to pilot a delivery subscription offering at the end of 2026. Chief Financial Officer Donny Lau said the company remains confident in its 2028 targets of 2% to 3% same-store sales growth and a 6% to 7% operating margin, and Vasos said he will leave the CEO role in January 2027, with JJ Fleeman, formerly a U.S. operating chief executive within Ahold Delhaize, selected as his successor.
Don Quijote to Launch 999-Yen Fleece Nationwide in Early October
Don Quijote announced on the 16th that it will release a fleece priced at 999 yen before tax, rolling it out sequentially at Don Quijote group stores nationwide starting in early October. With inflation driving a growing preference for thrift, the company aims to attract shoppers by offering a low-priced product. It achieved the low price by reviewing costs related to production and logistics, and the company says it will "continue to build a system that allows us to keep offering this price." Sales will begin ahead of the nationwide rollout in Hokkaido and the Tohoku region from the 21st, expanding nationwide in early October. The fleece comes in six unisex sizes, with children's sizes also available, and a lineup of 17 colors including black and beige.
Don Quijote announced on the 16th that it will begin selling a fleece jacket priced at 999 yen before tax at Don Quijote group stores nationwide starting in early October. With prices rising and consumers increasingly looking to save, the company aims to attract shoppers by offering a low-priced product. It achieved the low price by reviewing production and logistics costs, and the company says it will "continue to build a system that allows us to keep offering this price." Sales will begin ahead of the nationwide rollout in Hokkaido and the Tohoku region on the 21st, expanding nationwide in early October. The fleece comes in six unisex sizes, with children's sizes also available, and is offered in 17 colors including black and beige.
Dollar General Shares Rise 2.5% on Better-Than-Expected Q2 2026 Earnings
Dollar General drew fresh attention after its better than expected Q2 2026 earnings, which analysts cited as a key driver behind a 2.5% share price move on August 27. The stock's 1 month share price return of 4.78% and 90 day gain of 13.56% suggest momentum has been building again, even though the year to date share price return is down 5.59% and the 5 year total shareholder return is down 36.66%. The most followed narrative values Dollar General at about $131.07 per share, only slightly above the recent $129.17 close, framing the current move as a modest gap rather than a big valuation disconnect. Remodeling efforts under Project Renovate and Project Elevate, along with expansion of higher-margin nonconsumables and continued development of private label brands, are improving store productivity and encouraging higher basket sizes, helping to drive gross margin expansion and profitable earnings growth. The bullish narrative could crack if rural focused expansion starts to dilute returns, or if labor and operating costs keep outpacing productivity gains.
Costco raises motor oil prices, limits purchases as supply pressure builds
Costco Wholesale Corp. is raising motor oil prices and limiting purchases as supply pressure builds in energy markets. The bulk seller of common products through its membership warehouses is making what amounts to a tiny adjustment within its huge business, but the timing makes it worth watching. Energy markets have been under pressure, and rising oil prices could eventually reach consumers at the gas pump, in shipping costs and on store shelves. Costco's reputation rests largely on keeping prices low for members, so when costs rise the company must decide how much of the increase to absorb and how much to pass on to buyers. The purchase restrictions suggest Costco would rather keep goods on hand than risk some consumers buying exceptionally large amounts. The key question is whether this is an isolated incident; if similar price increases surface on more products, Costco buyers could feel rising energy costs far more broadly, which is the next thing investors should watch.
Target Sets Fall Deal Days for October 6-7, Clashing With Amazon
Target announced Tuesday that its fall Target Circle Deal Days event will run October 6-7, setting it directly against Amazon's Prime Big Deal Days shopping event. The retailer will offer Target Circle members up to 40% off thousands of products across fall apparel, home décor, kitchen tools, beauty, toys, technology, and early holiday merchandise, while Target Circle 360 members can begin shopping select offers on October 5. Promoted offers include 40% off select family apparel and outdoor holiday décor, 30% off selected Threshold furniture and Hearth & Hand with Magnolia products, discounts on select Dyson vacuums, and savings of up to 40% on toys, laptops, and other tech. The Minneapolis-based company said the event is aimed at budget-conscious seasonal shopping and at recruiting and deepening loyalty membership. The annual fall sales event evolved from Target Circle Week, a longer loyalty-sale format; in fall 2025 Target held a seven-day Circle Week from October 5-11 featuring discounts of up to 50% and daily deals. Shares of Target were down 2.0% in Tuesday afternoon trading.
Costco Doubles Motor Oil Price and Caps Purchases as Crude Nears $100
Costco has doubled the price of its full-synthetic motor oil and begun rationing purchases as crude oil pushes toward $100 a barrel. A 10-quart case that cost roughly $30 now runs $57.99, with purchases capped at two units per member per week. U.S. diesel crossed $6 a gallon for the first time this week, and global oil inventories have drawn down more than 500 million barrels since the U.S.-Iran conflict began. The pressure on Costco is more intense because its signature Kirkland oil carries GM's Dexos1 Gen 3 certification, which requires manufacturers to pay GM separately per product and per unit sold, eroding the DIY savings case. It is not just Costco: Mobil 1 is also capped, at five units, with six quarts running $44. The International Energy Agency cut its 2026 global oil supply forecast to 102 million barrels a day in August and now projects a third-quarter deficit of 1.8 million barrels a day, while Chevron CEO Mike Wirth said last week that the buffers that had cushioned prior price spikes are now exhausted.
Costco Digital Comps Surge 17.9% in August, Outpacing Total Comps
Costco Wholesale Corporation reported digitally enabled comparable sales jumped 17.9% for the four-week retail month ended Aug. 30, 2026, outpacing its total comparable sales increase of 8.4% for the same period. For the 16-week fourth quarter, digitally enabled comparable sales expanded 19.5%, while fiscal 2026 digital comps posted a 20.9% increase. On an adjusted basis excluding foreign exchange and gasoline price impacts, digitally enabled sales grew 17.9% in August, 19.8% in the fourth quarter and 20.7% for the 52-week fiscal year. Costco operates e-commerce sites in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Mexico, Korea, Taiwan, Japan, Australia and China. Among peers, Target Corporation's comparable digital sales rose 8.7% in the second quarter of fiscal 2026, while BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. posted digitally enabled comparable sales up 30% with two-year stacked growth of 64%. Costco shares have fallen 6.9% over the past three months, and the Zacks Consensus Estimate implies current financial-year sales and earnings per share growth of 9.8% and 13.5%, respectively.
Walmart is expected to post earnings of $0.63 per share for the current quarter, a change of +1.6% from the year-ago quarter, while the Zacks Consensus Estimate has moved -6.2% over the last 30 days. For the current fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $2.87 points to a change of +8.7% from the prior year and has changed -0.4% over the last 30 days, and for the next fiscal year the consensus estimate of $3.22 indicates a change of +12.3% and has changed -1.2% over the past month. On revenue, the consensus sales estimate of $186.47 billion for the current quarter points to a year-over-year change of +3.9%, while the $750.78 billion and $782.89 billion estimates for the current and next fiscal years indicate changes of +5.3% and +4.3%, respectively. Walmart reported revenues of $187.94 billion in the last reported quarter, up +5.9% year over year, with EPS of $0.81 versus $0.68 a year ago, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $186.26 billion by +0.9% on revenue and posting an EPS surprise of +10.96%. Based on the size of the recent consensus estimate change and three other earnings-estimate factors, Walmart is rated Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), and it is graded D on the Zacks Value Style Score, indicating it trades at a premium to its peers.
Jefferies Flags Six Consumer Stocks at Risk From Super El Niño
Jefferies warned that six consumer stocks could be disrupted by a Super El Niño this year and into 2027, part of a larger multi-sector list of names the firm identified as at risk. Current forecasts suggest the 2026-27 El Niño may be the strongest in modern history, and the firm noted that, unlike most climate risks, El Niño is highly trackable months in advance, giving investors an opportunity to identify economic consequences before they fully materialize. Analyst Scott Marks said Hershey carries concentrated cocoa exposure through its core U.S. chocolate portfolio and has built its 2027 margin recovery plan around expected cocoa deflation, warning that a Super El Niño driving a hotter, drier West African 2026/27 crop would undercut the central pillar of that recovery story. J.M. Smucker is exposed through its coffee portfolio, with sourcing potentially impacted for Brazilian arabica and Vietnamese and Indonesian robusta, while Mondelez International faces El Niño exposure through cocoa, with roughly 60% of supply in Côte d'Ivoire and Ghana, where strong events historically turn hotter and drier heading into the November-January harvest. Analyst Pedro Baptista noted PriceSmart derives approximately 11% of sales from Colombia and also operates across Central America, and analyst Anne Ling said Yum China could see extreme rainfall, flooding and adverse weather temporarily reduce dine-in traffic and disrupt logistics and delivery efficiency, while analyst Alex Wright highlighted that a sharp rise in sweetener costs could pressure margins at Coca-Cola FEMSA if cost increases outpace pricing actions.
Target Names Mark Weinstein Chief Marketing and Guest Experience Officer
Target Corporation announced that Mark Weinstein has joined the company as chief marketing and guest experience officer, effective immediately. Weinstein reports directly to Target chief executive officer Michael Fiddelke and will help lead the company's growth strategy by elevating how consumers experience and connect with the Target brand. He joins Target from Hilton, where he served as global chief marketing officer for all 28 brands and Hilton Honors, as well as head of luxury brands. At Target, Weinstein will shape a more connected experience across all the ways people engage with the brand, from discovery and shopping to how Target shows up in culture and communities, and he will oversee Roundel, Target's retail media network, and Target+, its highly curated marketplace. Target operates more than 2,000 U.S. stores and online, powered by more than 400,000 team members.
Walmart Q2 Earnings Beat Estimates, Raises Fiscal 2027 Outlook
Walmart Inc. reported a fiscal second-quarter earnings beat and raised its full-year outlook, with revenues rising 5.9% year over year to $187.9 billion and adjusted earnings up 19.1% to 81 cents per share. Constant-currency revenues advanced 5.1%, adjusted operating income rose 17.4% at constant currency to $9.25 billion, and the gross profit rate improved 96 basis points to 25.4%. Global e-commerce sales rose 23%, global advertising increased 38% and membership fee revenues advanced 17%. Walmart raised its fiscal 2027 constant-currency net sales growth forecast to 4%-5% from 3.5%-4.5%, lifted adjusted operating income growth guidance to 7%-8.5% from 6%-8%, and raised adjusted EPS guidance to $2.80-$2.87 from $2.75-$2.85. For the third quarter, the company expects constant-currency net sales growth of 3%-3.75%, adjusted operating income growth of only 2%-4%, and adjusted EPS of 62-64 cents, while management flagged more than $2 billion of incremental fuel-related costs in fiscal 2027 and about 20 basis points of operating income drag from Vibe acquisition and integration costs.
Walmart Q2 Earnings Beat as Digital Growth Outpaces Sales
Walmart Inc. reported second-quarter fiscal 2027 adjusted earnings of 81 cents per share, up 19.1% and ahead of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 73 cents, as digital, advertising and membership businesses expanded faster than overall sales. Global e-commerce sales rose 23% and U.S. marketplace sales jumped 52%, while global advertising grew 38% and membership fee revenues increased 17%. Adjusted operating income climbed 17.4% at constant currency to $9.25 billion against 5% constant-currency net sales growth, and the consolidated gross profit rate improved 96 basis points to 25.4%, helped by tariff refunds at Walmart U.S. and a favorable advertising mix. Costs and cash flow remain a pressure point: adjusted operating expenses rose 40 basis points to 21.4% of net sales, management expects more than $2 billion of incremental fuel-related costs in fiscal 2027, and first-half free cash flow fell $1.4 billion to $5.5 billion as capital expenditures rose to $14.2 billion from $11.4 billion. The stock trades at 34.7X forward 12-month earnings, above the sub-industry's 31.7X and its own five-year median of 25.0X, and carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).
Target Stores Fulfill 97.6% of Merchandise Sales as Digital Grows
Target Corporation's stores handled fulfillment for 97.6% of merchandise sales in its second-quarter fiscal 2026 results, well above the 80.4% of merchandise sales that originated in stores. Digitally originated sales accounted for 19.6% of merchandise sales, up from 18.9% a year earlier, while comparable digital sales rose 8.7% and same-day delivery grew more than 25%. Target fulfilled nearly 30% more same-day and next-day units than in the prior-year period. The retailer opened 17 new stores in the second quarter, bringing its first-half fiscal 2026 total to 24 new locations, and advanced more than 100 store remodels. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Target's earnings per share for the current and next fiscal year has increased by $2.01 and 41 cents to $10.43 and $9.36, respectively, over the past 30 days, and the company currently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).
Walmart Fast Delivery Grows 48% as Sub-30-Minute Service Hits 38 U.S. Markets
Walmart is expanding its delivery network to deepen its omnichannel model, reporting that U.S. e-commerce sales rose 24% in the second quarter of fiscal 2027 while store-fulfilled delivery sales grew approximately 43%. Expedited deliveries completed in under three hours accounted for roughly 37% of store-fulfilled orders, average weekly customers increased more than 20%, fast delivery in the United States rose 48% during the quarter, and sub-30-minute delivery expanded to 38 U.S. markets. Stores serve as last-mile fulfillment nodes for 80% of e-commerce orders and 100% of fast deliveries, and Walmart said customers using fast delivery shop more frequently, deepen their engagement and are more likely to become Walmart+ members. The delivery offering is also extending into additional food occasions through a recent collaboration with Dunkin', set to launch first via 150 in-store tenant locations, with plans to expand to the majority of Dunkin's 10,000 locations outside Walmart stores nationwide. Walmart, which competes with Costco Wholesale Corporation and Target Corporation, has seen its shares gain 3.3% over the past year compared with the industry's 2.2% growth, while the Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current fiscal-year sales and earnings per share implies year-over-year growth of 5.3% and 8.7%, respectively.
Walmart Partners With Papa John's to Expand Restaurant Delivery
Walmart Inc. is expanding its restaurant-delivery business through a partnership with Papa John's that will let customers in select U.S. markets order pizzas, sides and desserts through Walmart's app and website. The service is expected to launch this fall before expanding to thousands of participating Papa John's locations nationwide, with customers able to order restaurant food separately or alongside Walmart groceries and household products, and Walmart's delivery network handling fulfillment. The move builds on Walmart's broader push into fast delivery: U.S. e-commerce sales rose 24% in its latest quarter, fast-delivery services for groceries and general merchandise grew 48%, and 30-minute-or-less delivery was available in 38 U.S. markets. The partnership could strengthen Walmart's position as a broader consumer-delivery platform, since roughly 80% of its e-commerce orders are already fulfilled from stores, and it expands Walmart's restaurant offering beyond earlier partnerships as an alternative to dedicated platforms such as DoorDash and Uber Eats. Still, the deal carries risk: restaurant delivery could add complexity and relatively low-margin volume, and Walmart's latest results showed U.S. comparable sales growth of only 2.6%, its weakest in more than six years, even as e-commerce grew 24%.
Costco Rations Kirkland Motor Oil as Price Jumps to $57.99
Costco has raised the price of its Kirkland Signature full-synthetic motor oil to $57.99 for a 10-quart case and begun capping purchases at two units per member per week, as a global lubricant shortage tied to the Middle East conflict pushes crude oil toward $100 a barrel. The retailer has also imposed a five-per-member limit on Mobil 1, with six quarts of that brand running $44. The squeeze traces to the refinery, where base oil competes with gasoline and diesel for crude, and EIA data showed the gasoline crack spread roughly a dollar per gallon higher than at the same point in 2025. Licensing and testing costs add a separate layer, including the dexos1 Gen 3 certification Kirkland 5W-30 carries from GM and the seven additional lab tests introduced with the API SP category around 2020. The International Energy Agency cut its 2026 global oil supply forecast to 102 million barrels per day in August and projected a 1.8 million barrel per day deficit in the third quarter, more than double its prior estimate, while cumulative global inventory draws since the start of the U.S.-Iran conflict have topped 500 million barrels. U.S. diesel prices crossed $6 per gallon for the first time, sitting at $6.06 as of Monday, an 8-cent increase from Sunday and 21 cents above week-earlier levels, according to AAA.
Costco Raises Quarterly Dividend 13% as Payout Doubles Since 2020
Costco Wholesale announced a 13% increase to its quarterly dividend in April, lifting the payout to $1.47 per share from $1.30 a year earlier. The warehouse retailer, which operates 939 stores including 647 in the U.S., has more than doubled its quarterly payout since 2020, when it paid $0.70 per share. At a recent share price of $902, a $10,000 investment buys roughly 11 shares and generates about $65 in annual income at the 0.65% dividend yield, though Costco's occasional special dividends are not counted in that yield calculation. The company's most recent special dividend, paid in January 2024, was $15.00 per share, which would generate $165 on an 11-share position, following earlier special payouts of $10.00 in December 2020, $7.00 in May 2017, $5.00 in February 2015 and $7.00 in December 2012.
Cramer Calls Diesel a 25% Surtax as Walmart Flags $2 Billion Fuel Cost Hit
Jim Cramer said on CNBC's Squawk on the Street that rising diesel prices amount to a 25% surtax on everything Americans buy, one Congress never voted on. Walmart CFO John David Rainey told analysts on the August 20 call that the company now expects more than $2 billion of incremental fuel-related costs this year above and beyond its original guidance assumptions, and warned of a psychological impact once fuel prices rise above $4. McDonald's CFO Ian Borden cited continued inflationary pressures on food, paper and labor, and said the company pushed its 50,000-restaurant target from 2027 to 2028 as development costs climbed. McDonald's is down 15.58% year to date, Walmart is off 6.43% in the past month, and the XLY consumer discretionary ETF is down 6.11% in the past month, while Target is up 63.63% year to date on a Q2 that included a $994 million pretax IEEPA tariff refund contributing $1.65 to EPS. Cramer conceded the consumer has a job and wages are running slightly ahead of inflation, but treats that cushion as temporary, and the University of Michigan index sat at 55.2 in July, still below the 60 line flagged as recessionary.
Target Declares $1.16 Quarterly Dividend, a 1.8% Raise
Target declared a quarterly dividend of $1.16 per share, a 1.8% increase from the prior year that keeps its 50-year dividend streak intact. The raise matches the 1.8% pattern of the prior three quarters, a sharp step down from the increase from $0.68 to $0.90 in 2021 and from $0.90 to $1.08 in 2022. FY2026 operating cash flow fell to $6.562 billion, down 10.93%, while capital expenditure jumped 28.92% for remodels, and management said it is moving toward a 40% payout ratio over time. The company is a national general merchandiser contending with mass discounters and e-commerce on traffic, markdowns and inventory turns. Investors will watch the June 2027 announcement for either a mid-single-digit raise or another 1.8% token increase.
Dollar General Beats and Raises While Dollar Tree's Tariff-Boosted Beat Sends Shares Lower
Dollar General and Dollar Tree both beat second-quarter expectations in reports released August 27, but only Dollar General's stock was rewarded. Dollar General's net sales rose 5.2% to $11.29 billion, diluted EPS came in at $2.48, up 33.3% year-over-year, and same-store sales increased 3.5%, prompting management to raise full-year same-store sales guidance to 2.5% to 2.9% and full-year EPS guidance to $7.80-$8.00, while announcing plans to resume up to $700 million in share buybacks. Dollar Tree's revenue rose 7% year-over-year to $4.89 billion and diluted EPS was $2.70, but $1.31 of that figure came from the net impact of $383 million in IEEPA tariff refunds, leaving underlying EPS of $1.39, about 23% above the $1.13 consensus estimate. Despite that underlying beat, Dollar Tree shares fell about 3% to 4% after management guided third-quarter EPS to $0.80-$0.95, well below the $1.39 analyst average, citing roughly $0.50 per share of reinvestment of tariff refunds in pricing and margin pressure from a 40th anniversary $1 price-point campaign. Hedge fund ownership rose for both retailers, with Dollar General funds increasing from 47 to 53 and Dollar Tree from 43 to 54, though Dollar Tree's short interest stood higher at 4.15% versus Dollar General's 2.97% of float.
Judge Lets Estée Lauder Expand Counterfeit Suit Against Walmart
A California district court judge has rejected Walmart's bid to dismiss a lawsuit brought by Estée Lauder, allowing the case to proceed and expanding its scope beyond the 17 products tested for authenticity. Estée Lauder filed the suit last February, accusing Walmart of facilitating the sale of counterfeit versions of its licensed products by its namesake banner, La Mer, Le Labo, Clinique, Aveda, and Tom Ford, which were sold by third parties on Walmart's website. The complaint also claims Walmart allowed Estée Lauder trademarks to be used in its search engine, enabling the retailer to further profit from those sales. Walmart argued the complaint lacked factual allegations tying it to other products sold by third-party sellers on Walmart.com and that the products were not sufficiently related to warrant inclusion in a single suit. Judge Hernan Vera ruled that Walmart's request for dismissal is unjustified at this stage, opening the opportunity for Estée Lauder to expand its lawsuit beyond the 17 items tested.
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. reported second-quarter 2026 results that beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate on both the top and bottom lines and raised several components of its fiscal 2026 outlook. Adjusted earnings came in at 20 cents a share, topping the consensus estimate of 12 cents by 66.7%, though down from 23 cents a year earlier, while net sales rose 1.1% year over year to $1,192.8 million, surpassing the consensus mark of $1,167 million by 2.2%. Comparable-store sales declined 0.3%, improving from the 1% drop in the first quarter, as a 2.1% decline in average transaction size was partly offset by a 1.8% increase in transactions. Gross margin contracted 40 basis points to 30.2%, and adjusted EBITDA fell 3.1% to $65.7 million, while operating income rose to $15.8 million from $12.8 million. The company opened 10 new stores and closed 12, including nine under its Optimization Plan, ending the quarter with 547 stores across 16 states, and now expects fiscal 2026 net sales of $4.70-$4.72 billion, comparable-store sales between flat and down 0.5%, adjusted EBITDA of $225-$235 million and adjusted earnings per share of 51-55 cents.