Muangthai Capital Public Company LimitedInnovestX lists MTC among the Risk-on tactical plays if the Fed holds rates, tying it to the Fed meeting outcome.
イノベストX証券は、明日開催される米連邦準備制度理事会(FRB)の会合について、3つのケースを想定した評価を公表した。米国の8月消費者物価指数(CPI)は前年同月比3.4%と前月と同水準となり、市場予想とほぼ一致した。コアCPIは前年同月比2.5%から2.4%に減速したものの、前月比では予想をやや上回り、総合的なインフレ水準は依然としてFRBの目標を上回っているため、市場は金利の方向性に対する懸念を抱き続けている。第1のケースは金利据え置きで、これが基本シナリオだが、市場が織り込む確率は約10%にとどまり、ほぼ90%が利上げを織り込んでいる。第2のケースは、追加利上げの示唆を伴わないタカ派的でない利上げ(ドービッシュ・ハイク)で、SET指数が短期的に下落して底固めに入る可能性がある。第3のケースは、追加利上げを示唆するタカ派的な利上げ(ホーキッシュ・ハイク)で、ドットプロットが来年の金利経路の上昇を反映しているかどうかに注目する必要がある。タイ株ポートフォリオについて、イノベストXは低リスク許容度の投資家向けに2つの防御的テーマを推奨している。第1は国内プレーで、国内収入に基づく大型株に焦点を当て、CPALL、CPN、CRC、BDMS、BCH、PR9、CHGなどを挙げている。第2は高配当プレーで、年間5%を超える安定した配当利回りが期待される銘柄として、BBL、KTB、HMPRO、AP、SCCC、PTT、FTREIT、LHSCを挙げている。一方、高リスク許容度の投資家には、会合結果に応じた戦術的戦略を推奨している。FRBが金利を据え置いた場合はMTC、SAWAD、TIDLOR、AP、SIRI、DELTA、HANA、KCEへのリスクオンを検討し、ドービッシュ・ハイクの場合は押し目買いを推奨し、ホーキッシュ・ハイクの場合は現金保有を増やし、市場が3~6か月程度調整するのを待ってから、高金利とバーツ安の恩恵を受けるBBL、KBANK、KTB、TLI、BLA、TU、ITCなどのグループを検討するよう助言している。
Muangthai Capital Public Company LimitedInnovestX lists MTC among the Risk-on tactical plays if the Fed holds rates, tying it to the Fed meeting outcome.
Srisawad Power 1979 PCLSAWAD is listed among the Risk-on tactical plays if the Fed holds rates, linked to the Fed meeting outcome.
Kasikornbank Public Company LimitedNamed as a High Dividend Play defensive stock (KTB) in InnovestX's Fed-scenario strategy, no company-specific news.
Krung Thai Bank Public Company LimitedNamed as a High Dividend Play defensive stock (KTB) in InnovestX's Fed-scenario strategy, no company-specific news.
Ngern Tid Lor Public Company LimitedNamed in InnovestX's Tactical risk-on play list if the Fed holds rates, but no company-specific development.
Bangkok Life Assurance Public Company Limited
Thai Life Insurance PCL
AP (Thailand) Public Company LimitedListed in InnovestX's recommended defensive Domestic Play and Risk-on tactical plays, but no company-specific development; recommendation is contingent on Fed outcome.
Central Pattana Public Company LimitedListed among InnovestX's defensive Domestic Play big-cap stocks ahead of the Fed decision.
LH Shopping Centers LeaseholdListed among High Dividend Play defensive picks (LHSC) with no company-specific development.
Ticon Freehold and Leasehold Real Estate Investment Trust
Siri Prime Office Property Fd
Bangkok Chain Hospital Public Company LimitedIncluded in InnovestX's Domestic Play defensive theme, but no company-specific news; impact depends on Fed meeting scenario.
Chularat Hospital Public Company LimitedNamed in InnovestX's Domestic Play defensive theme, but no company-specific news; impact hinges on the Fed meeting outcome.
Praram 9 Hospital Public Company LimitedPR9 is named in InnovestX's Domestic Play defensive theme recommended ahead of the Fed meeting.
Bangkok Bank PCLNamed in InnovestX's High Dividend Play list (yield above 5%), a portfolio recommendation rather than a company-specific event.
CP ALL Public Company LimitedNamed as a defensive Domestic Play pick ahead of the Fed meeting, but the impact depends on the Fed outcome.
Central Retail Corporation Public Company LimitedIncluded in the recommended defensive Domestic Play theme tied to the Fed meeting scenarios.
Home Product Center Public Company LimitedListed among High Dividend Play defensive picks (HMPRO) with no company-specific development.
Hana Microelectronics Public Company LimitedListed in the Risk-on tactical play contingent on the Fed holding rates.
KCE Electronics Public Company LimitedIncluded in the Risk-on tactical basket (KCE) contingent on a Fed hold, no company-specific development.
Bangkok Dusit Medical Services Public Company LimitedListed among InnovestX's Domestic Play big-cap domestic-revenue stocks, a thematic recommendation with no company-specific development.
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company LimitedNamed in the Risk-on tactical play if the Fed holds rates, so impact hinges on the meeting outcome.
PTT Public Company LimitedPTT is included in InnovestX's High Dividend Play defensive theme recommended amid Fed rate uncertainty.
Siam City Cement Public Company LimitedSCCC is named in InnovestX's High Dividend Play defensive theme recommended ahead of the Fed meeting.