Krung Thai Bank Public Company LimitedFed's 0.25% rate hike is seen favoring commercial banks, with KBANK, BBL, KTB, SCB and KKP named as standout picks.
米連邦準備制度理事会の連邦公開市場委員会は、市場の予想通り、政策金利を0.25%引き上げて3.75%から4.00%とすることを全会一致で決定した。同時にドットプロットで年内にもう1回、25ベーシスポイントの利上げを行い4.00%から4.25%へ引き上げる可能性を示唆した。全体としては高金利長期化の方向性を反映している。タイのフィナンシャル・ニュース通信社イーファイナンス・タイは4社のアナリストの見方をまとめた。クルンシー・セキュリティズは本日のSETが反発し、抵抗線は1575ポイントと1583ポイント、支持線は1550ポイントと1545ポイントと予想。フィナンセシア・サイラスはSET指数が1555から1572ポイントの範囲で横ばいから上向きに推移すると予想。パイ・セキュリティズは1550から1580ポイントのレンジを想定。アイラ・セキュリティズは市場が懸念をすでに織り込んでいると指摘した。恩恵を受けるセクターは、商業銀行株で、注目銘柄はKBANK、BBL、KTB、SCB、KKP。輸出と電子部品関連ではDELTA、HANA、TU、ITC。バリュー株と医療関連ではBDMS、BCH、BH。原油価格の鈍化が心理的な追い風となるセクターとしては、航空のAOT、THAI、BA、建設資材と建設のTASCO、STECON、PYLON、電力のGULF、GPSC、BGRIM、ホテルのAWC、ERWなどが挙げられる。一方、悪影響を受けるのは、金融コスト負担の大きい公益事業や電力セクター、原油安に連動する石油・製油セクターである。ブレント原油が1バレル105ドルまで急落した後の心理的な圧力が背景にある。
Krung Thai Bank Public Company LimitedFed's 0.25% rate hike is seen favoring commercial banks, with KBANK, BBL, KTB, SCB and KKP named as standout picks.
Kasikornbank Public Company LimitedNamed as a standout commercial-bank pick expected to benefit from the Fed's 0.25% rate hike.
Kiatnakin Phatra Bank Public Company LimitedNamed as a standout commercial-bank pick expected to benefit from the Fed's 0.25% rate hike.
AIRA Capital Public Company Limited
Bank of Ayudhya PCL
SCB X Public Company LimitedSCB is named among commercial banks expected to benefit from the Fed's 0.25% rate hike.
Bangkok Bank PCLBangkok Bank is a standout commercial bank pick expected to benefit from the Fed's 0.25% rate hike.
Finansia X Public Company Limited
Pylon Public Company LimitedPYLON is listed among construction materials and contractors benefiting from the rate-hike environment and softer crude oil prices.
Airports Of Thailand PCLFed rate hike and softer crude oil prices give airlines like AOT a psychological boost per analysts.
Bangkok Airways Public Company LimitedBangkok Airways is among airlines seen benefiting from softer crude oil prices after the Fed hike.
B.Grimm Power Public Company LimitedNamed among power/utilities seen benefiting from softer crude, but also flagged as a high-financial-cost group under pressure from the Fed hike.
Global Power Synergy PCLNamed among power and utilities seen benefiting from softer crude, but utilities are also flagged as high-financial-cost groups under pressure from the rate hike.
Gulf Energy Development Public Company LimitedListed among power/utilities that get a psychological boost from softer crude, but the same group is also flagged as under pressure from high financial costs after the Fed hike.
i-Tail Corp. PCLNamed among exporters (TU, ITC) seen benefiting from the Fed's 0.25% rate hike.
Thai Union Group PCLTU is named among exporters/electronic components seen benefiting from the Fed's rate hike environment.
Bumrungrad Hospital PCLListed among medical stocks (BDMS, BCH, BH) seen benefiting from the Fed's rate hike as a Value Play group.
Bangkok Chain Hospital Public Company LimitedBangkok Chain Hospital is in the medical/value-play group seen benefiting under the high-for-longer rate stance.
STECON Group Public Company LimitedSTECON is listed among construction materials and contractors seen benefiting from the rate-hike backdrop and softer crude oil prices.
Hana Microelectronics Public Company LimitedNamed as an exporter/electronic-components pick seen benefiting from the Fed's 0.25% rate hike.
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company LimitedNamed among exporters and electronic components (DELTA, HANA, TU, ITC) seen benefiting from the Fed's 0.25% rate hike.
The Erawan Group Public Company LimitedNamed among hotels (AWC, ERW) seen getting a psychological boost from softer crude oil prices after the Fed hike.
Thai Airways International Public Company LimitedFed rate hike and softer crude oil prices give airlines like THAI a psychological boost from lower fuel costs.
Bangkok Dusit Medical Services Public Company LimitedBangkok Dusit Medical is listed among medical stocks seen benefiting from the Fed rate hike environment.